Least-Cost Power Sector Transition in India to 2035: Integrating Marginal Abatement Costs, Tariff Dynamics, and Carbon Market Mechanisms
インドの2035年までの低コスト電力セクター移行：限界削減費用、料金動学、炭素市場メカニズムの統合 (AI 翻訳)
Arundhati Mukherjee
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、インドの電力セクターにおける低コスト移行経路を、限界削減費用曲線、リアルタイム市場シグナル、炭素クレジット取引制度を用いて分析。再生可能エネルギーと需要応答が負の費用削減を、石炭効率化と柔軟性が低費用削減を、貯蔵と柔軟性が中費用の実現手段となることを示す。統合的枠組みは信頼性、脱炭素、料金安定を両立し、石炭依存州の公正な移行を可能にする。
English
This paper analyzes India's least-cost power sector transition using Marginal Abatement Cost curves, real-time market signals, and the Carbon Credit Trading Scheme. It finds that renewables and demand response dominate negative-cost abatement, coal efficiency and flexibility deliver low-cost reductions, while storage and flexibility are medium-cost enablers. The integrated framework ensures reliability, decarbonization, and tariff stability, enabling a just transition for coal-dependent states.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
インドの事例は、日本の電力システム改革やGX政策（特に炭素市場導入や非化石価値取引）と比較する上で示唆に富む。日本の石炭火力のフェードアウトやアンモニア混焼などの議論にも、費用対効果の観点から参考になる。
In the global GX context
This paper offers a rigorous, integrated framework for power sector transition that is relevant globally, especially for emerging economies balancing reliability, cost, and decarbonization. It demonstrates how carbon market mechanisms can be combined with marginal abatement cost analysis to inform investment and policy decisions, contributing to the literature on transition finance and climate policy design.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a novel integrated framework combining MAC curves, RTM signals, and carbon markets for power sector transition analysis.
🏢実務担当者:Offers insights for energy companies and investors on cost-effective decarbonization pathways and the role of carbon markets in dispatch decisions.
🏛政策担当者:Demonstrates how carbon pricing and market mechanisms can be designed to achieve NDC targets while ensuring affordability and just transition.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The Energy sector in India is undergoing a massive transformation by transitioning to more cleaner resources and technology upgradation to fulfil the commitments of action required to combat the climate change and move forward to the ambitious target of Net Zero by 2070. India's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC-2035) commits to reducing emissions intensity of GDP by 47% from 2005 levels, achieving 60% cumulative installed capacity from non-fossil sources, and creating a carbon sink of 3.5-4.0 billion tonnes CO? equivalent. This paper examines India's least-cost power sector transition under the triple constraint of reliability, carbon reduction, and affordability. Using Marginal Abatement Cost (MAC) curves, Real-Time Market (RTM) signals, and the Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS), the study demonstrates that India's pathway is not a binary coal-versus-renewables choice or coal exit, but a system optimization balancing efficiency, flexibility, and affordability. Results show that renewables and demand response dominate negative-cost abatement, coal efficiency and flexibility deliver low-cost reductions, while storage and flexibility are indispensable medium-cost enablers. RTM liquidity trends highlight flexibility scarcity, while CCTS introduces carbon costs into dispatch and investment decisions. The integrated framework ensures reliability, decarbonisation, and tariff stability, while enabling a just transition for coal-dependent states.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.21275/sr26331080639first seen 2026-05-05 19:11:44
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