Energy transition and regional adaptation potential in hydrocarbon-rich countries
炭化水素資源国のエネルギー転換と地域適応の可能性 (AI 翻訳)
Stefanos Xenarios, Etienne Nel, Lochner Marais, Murodbek Laldjebaev, Ingilab Ahmadov, Russell M. Wise, Stella Tsani
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、カザフスタン、アゼルバイジャン、南アフリカ、オーストラリアの4つの炭化水素資源国を対象に、地域レベルでのエネルギー転換と適応能力を比較分析した。進化経済地理学と持続可能性移行理論を基に、石油・ガス・石炭依存度、再生可能エネルギー拡大、ガバナンス、地域計画の4要素を評価。オーストラリアは連邦制と多様な経済で適応力が高い一方、カザフスタンやアゼルバイジャンは経路依存性とガバナンス制約が課題であることを示した。
English
This study compares regional energy transition and adaptation capacity in four hydrocarbon-rich countries: Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, South Africa, and Australia. Using evolutionary economic geography and sustainability transitions theory, it evaluates dependence on oil, gas, and coal, renewable energy expansion, governance, and regional planning. Australia shows higher adaptability due to federal structure and diversified economy, while Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan face path dependencies and governance constraints.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
本論文は日本を直接対象としないが、日本のエネルギー戦略（特に資源依存国との関係や地域適応策）に示唆を与える。また、多国間比較の手法は日本の自治体や地域エネルギー計画の評価にも応用可能。
In the global GX context
This paper contributes to the global discourse on just energy transitions by providing a comparative framework for assessing regional adaptability in resource-dependent economies. Its findings on governance and polycentric planning are relevant for policymakers in countries like Australia and South Africa, and offer lessons for international climate finance and technology transfer.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Offers a comparative framework combining evolutionary economic geography and sustainability transitions theory for analyzing regional energy transition capacity.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights the importance of polycentric governance and regional planning for energy companies and local stakeholders in resource-dependent regions.
🏛政策担当者:Provides policy-relevant insights on aligning national energy strategies with regional realities, especially for countries with carbon-intensive economies.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Abstract Hydrocarbon-rich countries face complex challenges in transitioning to renewable energy, particularly in sub-national regions economically dependent on oil, gas, and coal (OGC) extraction and export. This study investigates the regional capacity for the energy transition and the ability to adapt in four OGC-rich countries—Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, South Africa, and Australia—each with distinct governance structures, economic profiles, and renewable energy potentials. Drawing on Evolutionary Economic Geography and elements from Sustainability Transitions theory, we develop a conceptual framework to assess four key factors: OGC dependence, renewable energy expansion, governance mechanisms, and regional planning capabilities. Using expert surveys and probabilistic analysis, we evaluate the current significance and projected future impact of these factors over a 10-year horizon. Results indicate persistent path dependencies and governance constraints in Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan, whereas Australia demonstrates greater adaptability owing to its federal structure and diversified economy. South Africa, despite decentralised governance, faces infrastructural and financial limitations that hinder transition planning. Across all cases, renewable energy expansion is progressing, but community-level benefits and regional planning remain underdeveloped. Governance emerges as a critical enabler, yet its effectiveness varies widely. The findings highlight the need for enhanced capabilities in polycentric governance, inclusive stakeholder engagement, and integrated regional planning to support just and effective transitions. This comparative analysis emphasises the necessity of aligning national energy strategies, policies, and funding with regional realities and priorities, particularly within carbon-intensive economies. The findings also provide policy-relevant insights to enhance regional adaptability and facilitate energy transitions that adhere to global climate commitments.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae63e4first seen 2026-05-05 19:37:37
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