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Designing Effective Provincial Environmental Policies for a Fair Low‐carbon Transition in the Cement Industry

セメント産業における公正な低炭素移行のための効果的な州環境政策の設計 (AI 翻訳)

Juan Li, Yibo Li, Mei Sun, Yanzi Guo

China & World Economy📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-01-01#炭素価格Origin: CN
DOI: 10.1111/cwe.70008
原典: https://doi.org/10.1111/cwe.70008

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、多地域応用一般均衡モデルと3E3S手法を用いて、中国のセメント産業に対する炭素税と排出権取引制度の影響を州レベルで分析。政策はGDPを減少させるが、炭素強度とCCS導入を促進し、地域間・都市農村間の所得格差を拡大する。税還付が一部緩和効果を持つことを示した。

English

This study uses a multiregional CGE model and the 3E3S framework to analyze the provincial impacts of carbon taxes and emissions trading in China's cement industry. Policies reduce GDP but improve carbon intensity and CCS adoption, while widening urban-rural income gaps. Tax rebates partially offset negative effects.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

中国の州別政策設計は日本の地域別GX戦略(例:北海道・九州の水素拠点)にも示唆を与える。セメント産業の脱炭素と社会的不平等のトレードオフは、日本の公正な移行議論にも参考になる。

In the global GX context

This paper offers a rigorous multi-regional assessment of carbon pricing in a heavy industry, highlighting trade-offs between decarbonization and equity. Its methodology and findings are relevant for global cement decarbonization and the design of just transition policies, especially in countries with regional disparities like India or the US.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:A multi-regional CGE model combined with 3E3S provides a framework for analyzing sectoral and regional policy impacts on equity and technology adoption.

🏢実務担当者:Cement companies can use these findings to anticipate the effects of carbon pricing on operations and CCS investment across different provinces.

🏛政策担当者:Carbon taxes and ETS can drive CCS adoption but exacerbate income inequality; tax rebates are crucial for a just transition.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Designing policies for the cement industry's low‐carbon transition is challenging due to provincial differences. This study combined a multiregional computable general equilibrium model with the energy–economy–environment–sustainability–strategy–stability (3E3S) method to assess the effects of policy scenarios involving carbon taxes and emissions trading schemes on provincial economies, the environment, carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology, urban–rural income gap, the construction industry, and 3E3S subsystems. The results show that both the impacts of carbon tax and emissions trading schemes on provincial GDP are negative. As tax rates rise, carbon intensity in the cement industry decreases, boosting CCS technology adoption, especially in provinces where cement production is concentrated. These policies also intensify the urban–rural income gap, although tax rebates can partially offset their negative effects, and influence the construction industry through the supply chain. Variations in economic levels, technological development, and urban–rural income gap among provinces significantly influence the coordinated development of the 3E3S subsystems.

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