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Optimum Business Models of Carbon Capture Storage for Emitters, Capturers, and Injectors in Eastern Australia

オーストラリア東部における排出者、回収者、注入者のための炭素回収貯留の最適ビジネスモデル (AI 翻訳)

DongKyoon Kim, Byunggun Oh, NamJoon Chang, Jonggeun Choe

Journal of Energy Resources Technology, Part B: Subsurface Energy and Carbon Capture📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-05-13#CCUS
DOI: 10.1115/1.4071930
原典: https://doi.org/10.1115/1.4071930
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、オーストラリア・クイーンズランド州における二酸化炭素回収・貯留(CCS)プロジェクトの経済的実行可能性を評価。統合型、マーチャント型、トーリング型の3事業モデルをCO2注入率やACCU価格シナリオ下で分析。年間300万トン以上の注入で商業的実行可能性が成立し、トーリング型ではACCU価格80豪ドルでもNPVがプラスになることを示した。

English

This study assesses the economic feasibility of carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects in Queensland, Australia. Three business models—integrated, merchant, and tolling—are tested under varying CO2 injection rates and ACCU price scenarios. Results show commercial viability at injection rates above 3 million tonnes per annum, with the tolling model maintaining positive NPV at ACCU prices as low as A$80/t.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本でもCCSはGX実現の鍵とされるが、ビジネスモデルの経済性評価は限定的。本論文は排出者・回収者・注入者の役割分担とインセンティブ設計を示し、日本のCCS事業制度やJ-クレジットとの連携に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a rigorous economic analysis of CCS business models under a carbon credit scheme (ACCUs) and declining emissions baselines. It offers valuable insights for global CCS deployment, particularly in designing contractual structures and pricing mechanisms that align emitter, capturer, and injector incentives.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a framework for evaluating CCS business models under varying carbon prices and injection scales, applicable to other regions.

🏢実務担当者:Offers insights into structuring CCS contracts and assessing project viability under carbon credit schemes like ACCUs.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights how carbon credit pricing and baseline tightening can incentivize CCS investment, informing policy design for emissions reduction.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Abstract This study evaluates the economic feasibility of carbon sequestration projects in Queensland, aimed at managing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from private coal-fired power plants. In Australia, the federal government issues Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) based on sequestered CO2 quantities, incentivizing emissions reduction. Under the Safeguard Mechanism, facilities emitting over 100,000 tonnes of CO2 annually must meet progressively tighter baselines, reduced by 4.9% per year from July 2023. This is expected to drive growth in ACCU demand and prices. Using publicly available well and geological data, we develop dynamic reservoir models to assess sequestration potential in Queensland. Three business models—integrated, merchant, and tolling—are tested under varying CO2 injection rates and ACCU price scenarios involving emitters, capturers, and injectors. Our analysis indicates that CO2 injection exceeding 3 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) meets commercial viability, with emitters showing interest once ACCU prices approach A$120/t. At 5 MTPA, emitters can feasibly engage even at A$100/t under the tolling model, which also offers flexible compensation structures maintaining a positive net present value at ACCU prices as low as A$80/t. We further propose models in which injectors receive service fees for CO2 storage, allowing emitters to secure ACCUs for compliance under the Safeguard Mechanism. Overall, these findings highlight the potential economic advantages and adaptability of sequestration projects, providing viable pathways for industry to align with government emissions targets.

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