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Dynamic Carbon-Aware Scheduling for Electric Vehicle Fleets Using VMD-BSLO-CTL Forecasting and Multi-Objective MPC

VMD-BSLO-CTL予測と多目的MPCを用いた電気自動車フリートの動的カーボンアウェアスケジューリング (AI 翻訳)

Hongyu Wang, Zhiyu Zhao, Kai Cui, Zixuan Meng, Bin Li, Wei Zhang, Wenwen Li

Energies📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-01-16#EV・輸送Origin: Global
DOI: 10.3390/en19020456
原典: https://doi.org/10.3390/en19020456

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、電気自動車(EV)フリートの低炭素充電を実現する「予測-最適化」閉ループフレームワークを提案する。まず、VMDとCNN-Transformer-LSTMを統合したハイブリッド予測モデル(VMD-BSLO-CTL)を構築し、英国ナショナルグリッドのデータで有効性を検証した。次に、多目的MPC戦略により、ユーザーの経済性と系統安定性を両立する充電スケジューリングを実現。シミュレーションの結果、経済コスト4.17%削減、炭素排出8.82%削減、ピークバレー差6.46%低減、負荷分散11.34%低減を達成した。最後に、クラウドエッジ連携展開スキームを示し、次世代低炭素エネルギー管理への工学的可能性を示唆する。

English

This paper proposes a 'Prediction-Optimization' closed-loop framework for low-carbon EV fleet charging. A hybrid forecasting model (VMD-BSLO-CTL) integrating VMD and CNN-Transformer-LSTM is built and validated on UK National Grid data. A multi-objective MPC strategy trades off user economy and grid stability. Simulations show 4.17% cost reduction, 8.82% carbon emission reduction, 6.46% peak-valley difference reduction, and 11.34% load variance reduction. A cloud-edge collaborative deployment scheme demonstrates engineering potential for next-generation low-carbon energy management.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本ではEV普及とカーボンニュートラル目標が進む中、本フレームワークは需要側応答の高度化に寄与する。日本独自の系統データを用いた適用が期待されるが、本研究は英国データに基づくため、日本の電力構成や炭素強度特性への適合検証が必要。

In the global GX context

This work advances carbon-aware scheduling for EV fleets, directly supporting global climate disclosure frameworks (ISSB, TCFD) by providing quantifiable emission reductions. It also aligns with transition finance by demonstrating cost-effective decarbonization in the transport sector.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:The hybrid forecasting model (VMD-BSLO-CTL) and multi-objective MPC approach offer novel methods for spatio-temporal carbon intensity forecasting and EV fleet optimization.

🏢実務担当者:EV fleet operators and grid managers can adopt the framework to reduce both costs and carbon emissions while improving grid stability.

🏛政策担当者:The study provides evidence that smart charging policies can achieve significant emission reductions without compromising user economy.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Accurate perception of dynamic carbon intensity is a prerequisite for low-carbon demand-side response. However, traditional grid-average carbon factors lack the spatio-temporal granularity required for real-time regulation. To address this, this paper proposes a “Prediction-Optimization” closed-loop framework for electric vehicle (EV) fleets. First, a hybrid forecasting model (VMD-BSLO-CTL) is constructed. By integrating Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) with a CNN-Transformer-LSTM network optimized by the Blood-Sucking Leech Optimizer (BSLO), the model effectively captures multi-scale features. Validation on the UK National Grid dataset demonstrates its superior robustness against prediction horizon extension compared to state-of-the-art baselines. Second, a multi-objective Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy is developed to guide EV charging. Applied to a real-world station-level scenario, the strategy navigates the trade-offs between user economy and grid stability. Simulation results show that the proposed framework simultaneously reduces economic costs by 4.17% and carbon emissions by 8.82%, while lowering the peak-valley difference by 6.46% and load variance by 11.34%. Finally, a cloud-edge collaborative deployment scheme indicates the engineering potential of the proposed approach for next-generation low-carbon energy management.

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