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Assessing the Contribution of Green Energy Transition, Technological Innovation, and Green Finance to Carbon Neutrality: Evidence from the BRICS Countries

グリーンエネルギー転換、技術革新、グリーンファイナンスの炭素中立への貢献の評価:BRICS諸国の証拠 (AI 翻訳)

Chaudhary A, Vinodkumar N, Meharunisa S, Qureshi NI, Naaz H, Ansari S

Research Squareプレプリント2026-05-07#エネルギー転換Origin: Global
DOI: 10.20944/preprints202604.0886.v2
原典: https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202604.0886.v2

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、BRICS諸国におけるグリーンエネルギー転換、技術革新、グリーンファイナンスが炭素中立に与える影響を、PMG ARDLモデルと因果分析を用いて分析。長期的には全ての要因が二酸化炭素排出削減に有意に寄与するが、短期的にはグリーンエネルギー転換のみが有意な効果を示す。経済成長は長期的に排出を増加させる一方、貿易開放度は技術拡散を通じて排出を削減する。

English

This study examines the impact of green energy transition, technological innovation, and green finance on carbon neutrality in BRICS countries using PMG ARDL and causality analysis. In the long run, all three factors significantly reduce CO2 emissions, but only green energy transition has a significant short-run effect. Economic growth increases emissions long-term, while trade openness reduces emissions through technology diffusion.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本はBRICSではないが、同様の政策課題(グリーン成長、イノベーション、グリーンファイナンス)に直面。本論文の分析手法は、日本における炭素中立政策の評価に応用可能。特に、グリーンエネルギー転換の短期・長期効果の差異は、日本のエネルギー政策の時間軸設計に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This paper provides robust empirical evidence from major emerging economies, reinforcing the global consensus that green energy transition is key to carbon neutrality. The integration of innovation and green finance within a unified framework is valuable for shaping policies in developing and developed countries alike. The results inform the design of transitional policies balancing short-term costs and long-term gains.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Demonstrates a unified empirical framework for assessing multiple drivers of carbon neutrality, suitable for replication in other regions.

🏢実務担当者:Highlights the importance of long-term green finance and innovation investments beyond short-term fluctuations.

🏛政策担当者:Provides evidence that green energy transition yields immediate emission reductions, while innovation and finance require sustained support to materialize.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Achieving carbon neutrality has become a central policy objective for emerging economies, particularly the BRICS countries-BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) which collectively account for a substantial share of global carbon emissions and energy consumption. The transition toward green energy, rapid technological innovation, and the expansion of green finance mechanisms are increasingly viewed as critical drivers of sustainable development and environmental improvement. However, empirical evidence integrating these three dimensions within a unified analytical framework for BRICS remains limited. This study examines the contribution of green energy transition, technological innovation, and green finance to achieving carbon neutrality in BRICS countries using a Pooled mean group auto regressive distributed Lag (PMG ARDL) framework and Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality analysis. The results indicate that green energy transition significantly reduces carbon emissions in both the long run (−0.45) and short run (−5.65), emphasizing the importance of shifting toward renewable energy sources. Technological innovation exerts a significant negative effect in the long run (−0.17), reflecting efficiency gains and cleaner production, although its short-run impact remains insignificant. Similarly, green finance improves environmental quality in the long run (−0.10) by supporting low-carbon investments, while short-run effects are statistically insignificant due to adjustment frictions. Economic growth increases emissions in the long run (0.43), confirming the scale effect, whereas trade openness reduces emissions (−0.87), indicating the role of technology diffusion. The error correction term (−0.76) confirms a strong convergence toward long-run equilibrium. The causality analysis reveals unidirectional causality from green energy transition, technological innovation, and green finance to carbon emissions, while bidirectional causality exists between economic growth and emissions, highlighting a feedback mechanism. Policy implications suggest that BRICS economies should strengthen green financial systems, accelerate renewable energy adoption, promote innovation-driven sustainability, and design growth strategies that decouple economic expansion from environmental degradation.

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