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Game-Theoretic Assessment of Grid-Scale Hydrogen Energy Storage Adoption in Island Grids of the Philippines

フィリピンの島嶼グリッドにおけるグリッド規模水素エネルギー貯蔵導入のゲーム理論的評価 (AI 翻訳)

A. Palanca, C. L. Chao, Kristian July R. Yap, R. L. de Leon

Hydrogen📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-01-22#水素Origin: Global
DOI: 10.3390/hydrogen7010015
原典: https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrogen7010015

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究はLCA-MCDA-Nash均衡統合フレームワークを用い、フィリピン島嶼グリッドにおける水素エネルギー貯蔵(HES)の導入可能性を評価。ベースラインでは非導入が均衡となるものの、維持可能性の改善とコスト低減により導入にシフトする。LCA分析からは、低炭素電源比率が60%超でのみ有意な脱炭素化が達成されることを示した。

English

This study proposes an integrated LCA-MCDA-Nash equilibrium framework to assess hydrogen energy storage (HES) feasibility in Philippine island grids. The baseline Nash equilibrium favors non-adoption due to limited utility gains and high switching costs, but improvements in maintainability and cost reduction can shift toward adoption. LCA results show that meaningful decarbonization requires over 60% low-carbon electricity in the mix.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本の離島グリッドでも水素貯蔵は注目されており、本フレームワークは意思決定の参考となる。特に、再生可能エネルギー比率が低い現状では導入メリットが限定的である点は、日本のSPUG類似系統にも示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a replicable decision-support framework for hydrogen storage in remote island grids, relevant to global energy transition efforts. It highlights the need for stakeholder coordination and sufficient renewable penetration, offering practical insights for developing economies and island nations.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:The LCA-MCDA-Nash equilibrium integration provides a novel methodological approach for assessing technology adoption under multiple stakeholder perspectives.

🏢実務担当者:The framework can guide investment and operational decisions for hydrogen storage in remote or island grids, emphasizing the importance of reducing switching costs and improving maintainability.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers can use the findings to design incentives that lower adoption barriers and prioritize low-carbon electricity expansion to enable hydrogen storage deployment.

📄 Abstract(原文)

This study introduces an integrated Life Cycle Assessment–Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis–Nash Equilibrium (LCA–MCDA–NE) framework to assess the feasibility of hydrogen energy storage (HES) in Philippine island grids. It starts with a cradle-to-gate LCA of hydrogen production across various electricity mix scenarios, from diesel-dominated Small Power Utilities Group (SPUG) systems to high-renewable configurations, quantifying greenhouse gas emissions. These impacts are normalized and integrated into an MCDA framework that considers four stakeholder perspectives: Regulatory (PRF), Developer (DF), Scientific (SF), and Local Social (LSF). Attribute utilities for Maintainability, Energy Efficiency, Geographic–Climatic Suitability, and Regulatory Compliance inform a 2 × 2 strategic game where net utility gain (Δ) and switching costs (C1, C2) influence adoption behavior. The findings indicate that the baseline Nash Equilibrium favors non-adoption due to limited utility gains and high switching barriers. However, enhancements in Maintainability and reduced costs can shift this equilibrium toward adoption. The LCA results show that meaningful decarbonization occurs only when low-carbon generation exceeds 60% of the electricity mix. This integrated framework highlights that successful HES deployment in remote grids relies on stakeholder coordination, reduced risks, and access to low-carbon electricity, offering a replicable model for emerging economies.

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