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Plant-level decarbonization pathways and mitigation costs of global oil refineries

世界の石油精製所におけるプラントレベルの脱炭素化経路と削減コスト (AI 翻訳)

Shijun Ma, Jing Meng, Tianyang Lei, Kailan Tian, Xi Liang, Liang Jing, Hassan El-Houjeiri, Diling Liang, Peipei Chen, Dabo Guan

Nature Chemical Engineering📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-05-15#エネルギー転換Origin: Global
DOI: 10.1038/s44286-026-00394-z
原典: https://doi.org/10.1038/s44286-026-00394-z
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、世界の石油精製所を対象に、プラントレベルの脱炭素化経路モデルを開発した。炭素回収・貯留(CCS)や水素利用による大幅な排出削減可能性を示し、地域ごとに最適な対策が異なることを明らかにした。中国では炉・ボイラーのCCS、米国では水素製造のバイオマスガス化がコスト効果的である。

English

This paper develops a plant-level decarbonization pathway model for global oil refineries, coupling refinery-specific characteristics with low-carbon technology costs. It finds that carbon capture and storage and clean hydrogen can substantially decarbonize the sector, with regional differences: China focuses on CCS at furnaces, while the US benefits from biomass gasification for hydrogen. Shorter retrofitting cycles and bio-crude adoption could enable negative emissions.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本は石油精製業の再編が進む中、本論文のプラントレベルの分析手法は国内製油所の脱炭素計画に活用可能。SSBJや有報での気候変動リスク開示にも、実証的な経路情報を提供する。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a granular, plant-level analysis crucial for global energy transition. It aligns with TCFD/ISSB disclosure needs by identifying cost-effective mitigation strategies for a hard-to-abate sector, supporting transition finance and climate scenario analysis.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:A plant-level modeling framework that can be adapted to other industrial sectors or refined with regional cost data.

🏢実務担当者:Actionable insights on technology deployment (CCS, hydrogen) and retrofitting cycles for refinery decarbonization planning.

🏛政策担当者:Evidence for designing targeted subsidies or carbon pricing mechanisms that account for refinery heterogeneity.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Abstract Oil refining is a major industrial CO 2 emitter and requires rapid decarbonization to align with climate goals. While decarbonization has been widely discussed at national and global levels, successful implementation relies on mitigation options that are technically feasible and economically competitive at individual refineries. Here we develop a plant-level decarbonization pathway model, coupling refinery-specific operating characteristics with dynamic costs of low-carbon technologies. The global refining sector, especially deep conversion refineries, could be substantially decarbonized through carbon capture and storage and clean hydrogen. Regional differences in refinery age and configuration lead to heterogeneous decarbonization pathways. In China, over 60% of mitigation costs in deep-conversion refineries are associated with carbon capture and storage at furnaces and boilers, whereas in the USA, approximately 40% arise from replacing steam methane reformers with biomass gasification for hydrogen production. Combining shorter retrofitting cycles with bio-crude oil adoption would further increase cumulative mitigation and enable negative CO 2 emissions. Our findings identify feasible, cost-effective plant-level mitigation strategies and provide actionable evidence for accelerating climate mitigation.

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