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Deepen the value of flow batteries among storage alternatives for the sustainable transition of the European energy system

欧州エネルギーシステムの持続可能な移行に向けた蓄電代替技術としてのフローバッテリーの価値の深化 (AI 翻訳)

Georg Henke, Enrico Ampellio, Francesco De Marco

Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)ジャーナル2026-04-12#エネルギー転換Origin: EU
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-c-000798670
原典: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/798670

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、欧州の脱炭素エネルギーシステムにおいて、フローバッテリーが他の蓄電技術と比較して競争力を持つ条件を分析。ラウンドトリップ効率70%以上、寿命20年以上、コスト低下などの要件を満たせば、2050年に欧州の蓄電容量の約15%を占め、特に日射量が多く水力の少ない南欧で最大50%まで導入される可能性を示した。水素貯蔵が長期需要(70%)、揚水発電が中期(10%)、リチウムイオンが短期(5-10%)をそれぞれ担う中で、フローバッテリーは8-20時間帯で優位性を持つ。

English

This study analyzes the competitive conditions for flow batteries in Europe's decarbonized energy system. With round-trip efficiency above 70%, lifetime over 20 years, and cost reductions, flow batteries could achieve 15% of European storage capacity by 2050, up to 50% in southern Europe with high solar and limited hydro. Flow batteries fill the 8-20 hour storage gap, complementing hydrogen (long-term, ~70%), pumped hydro (mid-term, ~10%), and lithium-ion (short-term, ~5-10%).

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本でも再生可能エネルギー大量導入に伴う長期・短期の蓄電ニーズが高まっており、本論文が示すフローバッテリーのコスト・性能目標値は、日本のエネルギーシステム設計や蓄電技術開発の参考となる。特に、太陽光比率の高い地域での導入ポテンシャル評価は示唆に富む。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a comprehensive modeling of storage mixes for a decarbonized Europe, offering clear techno-economic benchmarks for flow batteries. It contributes to the global GX discourse on how emerging storage technologies can integrate high shares of renewables, relevant for regions like Europe planning net-zero grids.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides performance and cost targets for flow batteries in system-level modeling, useful for energy storage researchers.

🏢実務担当者:Offers actionable adoption timelines and regional insights for energy planners and storage investors.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need to support flow battery R&D and deployment policies to fill the 8-20h storage gap.

📄 Abstract(原文)

The net-zero transition of the energy system at the international scale implies a high penetration of renewable generation, which involves risks of adequacy and security due to unpredictable fluctuations in the electricity demand/offer balance. The grid structure can be improved to mitigate imbalances, but ultimately, storage plays a crucial role in the system’s stability. Mature conventional technologies include lithium-ion batteries for a shorter storage duration and pumped-hydro for a longer storage duration. Among emerging technologies, hydrogen is suitable up to seasonal implementation, and redox electrochemical flow batteries are promising candidates for a storage duration in the weekly range. The latter are still not widely adopted to date due to high costs, low energy efficiency, and the use of critical materials, among other factors. However, recent technological improvements, such as membrane-less flow batteries, open a promising avenue, with several possible advantages over or complementary to existing storage technologies. This study assesses the configurations of energy and storage mixes for a cost-effective, decarbonized Europe under different climate scenarios. In particular, the design parameters of flow batteries are investigated to unfold their potential role in supporting the sustainable transition, compared to other storage options. Based on the results, flow batteries offer some competitive economic advantages, especially in the 8-20 hours range. The expected adoption rate is around 15% of the European storage mix in 2050, with introduction starting by 2030-2035. This is true given a Round Trip Efficiency (RTE) above 70%, a lifetime longer than 20 years, and cost curves below 2500 to 1300 [€/kW] and 300 to 150 [€/kWh] between 2025 and 2050, respectively. Countries with high solar potential and limited hydro, such as southern Europe, will benefit from flow batteries the most, with an expected large adoption of up to 50%. Furthermore, flow batteries can increase the resilience of the energy system against sub-weekly adverse weather events. An adoption rate of up to 30% would be beneficial in regions that experience low-wind events during periods of high winter heat demand. Overall, hydrogen storage is expected to dominate the European energy mix (with an adoption rate of around 70%), meeting the critical need for long-term storage (>50 hours to seasonal) and complementing the limited capacity of pumped hydropower (around 10%). Lithium-ion batteries will complete the mix (with an adoption rate of around 5-10%), primarily for very short durations (around 1-4 hours).

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