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Can green hydrogen support fossil fuel workers? Examining workforce transition pathways in oil and gas communities

グリーン水素は化石燃料労働者を支援できるか?石油・ガスコミュニティにおける職業移行経路の検討 (AI 翻訳)

Jerry Potts, Sergio Castellanos

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)プレプリント2026-05-07#水素Origin: US
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20061856
原典: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20061856

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、テキサス州の電力系統をモデル化し、水素と再生可能エネルギーの導入が石油・ガス労働者の雇用に与える影響を分析。結果、水素関連雇用は既存の石油・ガス労働者の最大36%を吸収できるが、地域的ミスマッチが存在。水素職種は再生可能エネルギー職種よりも石油・ガス職種とのスキル親和性が高く、教育要件も低いため、労働者移行の障壁が少ないことが示された。

English

This study models the Texas Interconnection to quantify hydrogen and renewable energy capacity under policy scenarios and assess workforce impacts via input-output models. Results show hydrogen and renewable jobs could support up to 36% of current oil and gas workers, but distribution gaps persist. Hydrogen occupations have better skill alignment with oil and gas jobs and lower educational barriers, suggesting a smoother transition pathway.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本のGX政策では水素が重要な柱だが、労働者移行に関する実証研究は少ない。本稿は職種レベルでのスキル適合性を定量化しており、日本の水素戦略における雇用対策の参考となる。

In the global GX context

This paper provides empirical evidence on hydrogen's role in a just transition, directly relevant to global hydrogen deployment strategies and workforce planning. It fills a gap in understanding skill alignment and regional distribution of hydrogen jobs, informing policy design for fossil fuel-dependent regions.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a quantitative framework for assessing hydrogen workforce impacts, including skill alignment and regional distribution, useful for just transition and energy policy research.

🏢実務担当者:Insights on hydrogen job creation potential and skill requirements can inform corporate workforce planning and community engagement in hydrogen projects.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for targeted policies to address geographic mismatches and support retraining, especially in regions where hydrogen jobs may not overlap with fossil fuel job losses.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Decarbonizing our energy sector requires a rapid transition away from fossil fuel infrastructure, likely resulting in significant unemployment in regions relying heavily on the fossil fuel industry. While new renewable energy jobs can provide some support, there are significant gaps in their distribution, skill requirement, and potential wages. Other sectors, such as the hydrogen supply chain, may be able to provide additional support, but their workforce development potential is largely unexplored. In this work, we model the Texas Interconnection to quantity the new hydrogen and renewable energy capacity deployed across the state under a set of different policy and demand scenarios. We then assess the direct and indirect workforce impacts of this new capacity using a set of economic input-output models. The results reveal that jobs associated with hydrogen and related renewable energy generation could support up to 36% of current oil and gas workers in the state. However, distributional gaps persist as new hydrogen occupations are concentrated in regions with relatively low oil and gas employment. Additionally, an analysis of occupational data indicates that the skill and knowledge requirements for hydrogen occupations are better aligned with oil and gas occupations compared to renewable energy occupations. Hydrogen jobs, on average, also have lower educational and training requirements, suggesting that there are fewer barriers for workers transitioning into this sector. These findings provide critical insights into the potential role of emerging hydrogen technologies in facilitating a just energy transition and mitigating the impacts of the transition on oil and gas workers.

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