GLOBIOM projections for the quantification of the VITAL-Paths-Food pathways in RAINFOREST deliverable D5.3
RAINFOREST成果物D5.3におけるVITAL-Paths-Food経路の定量化のためのGLOBIOM予測 (AI 翻訳)
Sibylle Rouet-Pollakis, David Leclère, Marta Kozicka, Felicity Addo, Fulvio Di Fulvio, Pekka Lauri, Jinfeng Chang, Elliott Woodhouse, Christopher Wong, Peter Havlík, Stefan Frank, Larissa Nowak, Thomas Kastner, Daniel Braun, Koen Kuipers, Francesca Verones
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本資料は、RAINFORESTプロジェクトの成果物D5.3の補足であり、GLOBIOMモデルを用いて、食料・バイオマス供給チェーンの変革経路（VITAL-Paths-Food）の2050年までの定量予測結果を提供する。BAUシナリオと3つの対照的な変革経路、および15の分解シナリオについて、土地利用、GHG排出量、栄養塩投入、種の絶滅リスクなどの指標を示す。
English
This supplement provides quantitative projections to 2050 using the GLOBIOM model for the VITAL-Paths-Food pathways in the RAINFOREST project. It includes business-as-usual, three contrasted transformative pathways, and 15 decomposition scenarios, with indicators on land use, GHG emissions, nutrient inputs, ecological intactness, and species extinction risks.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本の農林業政策や土地利用計画において、気候・生物多様性目標と食料供給の両立を検討する上で参考になる。ただし、日本固有のデータは含まれていない。
In the global GX context
This study demonstrates integrated scenario modeling for food system transformation aligning climate, biodiversity, and human well-being goals, relevant to global policy discussions like the Paris Agreement and Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Researchers in integrated assessment modeling can examine the methodology and scenario designs for food-land system pathways.
🏛政策担当者:Policymakers interested in land use, agriculture, and climate-biodiversity synergies can gain insights from the contrasting pathway outcomes.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Supplement for RAINFOREST D5.3 deliverable (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19789240) including output data for the quantitative projections, and code to generate related figures in the deliverable (Figures 1-32). The deliverable analyzes quantitative projections to 2050 generated with the GLOBIOM model for the VITAL-Paths-Food pathways. These are contrasted pathways of transformative change in the food and biomass supply chains towards climate-, nature- and people-positive futures. The pathways represent consistent and contrasted groupings of value perspectives about environmental justice (based on the AJUST framework) and human-nature relationships (based on the NFF framework). The scenarios for which a quantification is provided include: 1 business-as-usual future (as a counterfactual), 3 contrasted pathways, designed to meet global biodiversity, climate and human well-being goals. 15 decomposition scenarios, picturing subsets of the interventions constituting each pathway, allowing to understand the effect of those on the projected outcomes. The projections provide indicators related to efforts (understood as deviations to the BAU interns of indirect drivers, e.g., changes in consumption, trade and production volumes, adoption of sustainable production practices and area under restoration) and impacts (understood as deviations to the BAU in terms of direct drivers and environmental and socio-economic impacts, e.g., land use, GHG emissions, nutrient and pesticide input use, average ecological intactness and species extinction risks from agricultural products, value of agricultural production, labor requirements for crop production, undernourishment, health impacts from food consumption).
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18788046first seen 2026-05-17 04:40:31 · last seen 2026-06-11 05:32:52
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gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。