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GREEN TRANSITION, ECONOMIC INEQUALITY, AND DEMOCRACY: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF POLITICAL TRUST AND DEMOCRATIC SATISFACTION IN EUROPEAN AND OECD COUNTRIES

グリーン移行、経済的不平等、民主主義:欧州およびOECD諸国における政治的信任と民主的満足度の比較分析 (AI 翻訳)

Mehmet Recai Uygur

Zenodoプレプリント2026-06-08#just_transitionOrigin: EU
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20593434
原典: https://zenodo.org/records/20593434
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、グリーン移行政策の強度と経済的不平等が民主的正当性に与える相互作用を調査。欧州・OECD諸国のパネルデータを用い、環境政策の厳格さ、脱炭素進展、エネルギー負担可能性と所得不平等、エネルギー貧困、政治的信任・民主的満足度との関連を分析。結果、グリーン移行の成果は一律に高い信頼と関連せず、不平等が低く補償政策がある場合に肯定的な関連がみられる。エネルギー貧困が重要な媒介メカニズムであり、社会的保護と参加型ガバナンスの必要性を示す。

English

This study examines how green transition policies and economic inequality interact to shape democratic legitimacy. Using panel data from European and OECD countries, it finds that stronger decarbonization performance does not uniformly increase political trust; positive associations emerge only where inequality is low and compensatory policies mitigate costs. Energy poverty is identified as a key mediating mechanism, highlighting the need for social protection and participatory governance to sustain democratic support for climate policy.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本にとっては、脱炭素政策と不平等・政治的受容性の関係は重要。日本のGX政策(GXリーグ、カーボンプライシング)も公平性への配慮が必要で、エネルギー貧困や地域格差への対応が示唆される。本論文の枠組みは日本の文脈でも応用可能。

In the global GX context

For the global context, this paper contributes to the just transition literature by empirically linking green transition stringency with democratic attitudes. It provides evidence from European and OECD countries that policy design and compensation mechanisms are critical for maintaining public support, relevant to countries implementing ambitious climate policies under the Paris Agreement and EU Green Deal.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:This paper offers a framework for integrating climate policy, inequality, and democratic legitimacy, useful for scholars studying just transition and public acceptance of decarbonization.

🏢実務担当者:Corporate sustainability teams can learn about the importance of social protection and fair distribution in energy transition strategies to maintain stakeholder trust.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers should note that effective decarbonization requires complementary social policies to prevent backlash and maintain democratic support, as shown by the mediating role of energy poverty.

📄 Abstract(原文)

This article investigates how the intensity of green transition policies interacts with economic inequality to shape democratic legitimacy. Drawing on a comparative panel of European and OECD countries, it links measures of environmental policy stringency, decarbonization progress and energy affordability with distributional indicators (income inequality and energy poverty) and survey-based outcomes (political trust and satisfaction with democracy). The analysis combines cross-sectional models, fixed-effects panel regressions and interaction tests to assess whether “just transition” conditions moderate citizens’ acceptance of climate policy. Results suggest that stronger green transition performance is not uniformly associated with higher trust or democratic satisfaction: positive associations emerge mainly where inequality is lower and compensatory welfare and price-shielding policies limit perceived unfairness. Where transition costs concentrate on vulnerable households and regions, energy poverty rises and legitimacy risks increase, creating political space for backlash and populist framing. Regime-type comparisons and short case illustrations (Germany, Poland, Lithuania and Turkey) highlight that institutional capacity and distributive policy design condition these dynamics. The study contributes a framework that integrates climate policy, inequality and democratic attitudes and underscores that effective decarbonization requires social protection, participatory governance and targeted compensation to maintain democratic support. It identifies energy poverty as a central mediating mechanism here.

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