The energy paradox: contrasting transition logics and converging renewable electricity outcomes in Texas and California
エネルギーパラドックス：テキサス州とカリフォルニア州における対照的な移行論理と収束する再生可能電力の成果 (AI 翻訳)
Ahmet Hakan Özkan
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、大規模な再生可能電力の拡大がエネルギー需要の増加とシステムレベルの脱炭素化の不均一な成果と共存する「エネルギーパラドックス」を検証する。カリフォルニア州とテキサス州の政策主導型と市場主導型の移行経路を比較し、制度設計が脱炭素化の成果をどう決定するかを分析。結果は、両経路が再生可能電力の生成レベルで収束する一方、需要抑制、化石燃料置換、インフラ統合において大幅に乖離することを示す。
English
This study examines the energy paradox where large-scale renewable electricity expansion coexists with rising demand and uneven decarbonization. Comparing policy-led (California) and market-led (Texas) pathways, it finds convergence in renewable generation levels but divergence in demand restraint and fossil fuel displacement. Institutional design critically shapes environmental effectiveness beyond deployment metrics.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本では、FIT/FIP制度や市場統合の議論において、再生可能エネルギーの大量導入と需要管理のバランスが課題。本論文は、政策主導と市場主導の制度設計が脱炭素効果に与える影響を実証的に示し、日本のエネルギー基本計画や次期戦略への示唆を提供する。
In the global GX context
This paper offers a nuanced comparison of two distinct governance logics (policy-led vs. market-led) in electricity transitions, showing that deployment metrics alone are insufficient. It challenges the assumption that market-led growth automatically drives decarbonization, relevant for global debates on carbon pricing, RPS, and grid integration under TCFD/ISSB frameworks.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Highlights the need to move beyond renewable deployment metrics and examine institutional design, demand-side dynamics, and system coordination in energy transition research.
🏢実務担当者:Demonstrates that corporate renewable procurement (e.g., PPAs) may not guarantee emissions reduction without accompanying demand management and grid integration strategies.
🏛政策担当者:Provides empirical evidence that policy-led pathways can more effectively align renewable expansion with demand restraint and emissions reduction, informing the design of next-generation energy policies.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Purpose This study examines an emerging energy paradox in which large-scale renewable electricity expansion coexists with rising energy demand and uneven system-level decarbonization outcomes. Design/methodology/approach The study adopts a comparative, system-level analytical approach, focusing on contrasting policy-led and market-led transition pathways in California and Texas. It analyzes renewable electricity growth, energy demand trajectories, carbon intensity, and system coordination to assess how institutional design conditions decarbonization outcomes. Findings The results show that policy-led and market-led systems can converge on similar levels of renewable electricity generation, yet diverge substantially in demand restraint, fossil fuel displacement, and infrastructure integration. Market-led pathways enable rapid renewable deployment but often coexist with rising demand and weaker system coordination, whereas policy-led pathways more effectively align renewable expansion with demand management and emissions reduction. Originality/value By moving beyond deployment metrics, this study highlights the limits of supply-side expansion alone and demonstrates how institutional design shapes the environmental effectiveness of renewable growth. The findings contribute to energy transition research by clarifying how similar renewable outcomes can produce divergent sustainability trajectories under different governance logics.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- crossref https://doi.org/10.1108/meq-01-2026-0038first seen 2026-05-14 23:32:10
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