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A Life Cycle Costing Approach of Potential Carbon Capture and Storage at the Hunter Unit 3 Coal-Fired Power Plant, Utah

ユタ州ハンター第3石炭火力発電所における潜在的CCSのライフサイクルコスト評価 (AI 翻訳)

Kevin L. McCormack, Ethan Gallup, Palash Panja, Eric Edelman, Pratt Rogers, Kody M. Powell, Brian McPherson

Energies📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-04-22#CCUSOrigin: US
DOI: 10.3390/en19092010
原典: https://doi.org/10.3390/en19092010
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、ユタ州の石炭火力発電所へのCCS導入についてライフサイクルコスト分析を行った。年間約500万トンのCO2を捕捉・貯蔵する前提で、約6億ドルの初期投資が必要だが、連邦税額控除により5年以内に投資回収可能と試算。税額控除の政策変動が投資リスクを高めることも示された。

English

This study presents a life cycle costing assessment of a CCS retrofit at a Utah coal plant. Under current policies, the project appears economically viable with a payback period of roughly five years, driven by federal tax credits. Sensitivity analysis shows that project economics are dominated by capture costs and sequestration rates, while policy volatility in the $85/ton tax credit significantly increases investment uncertainty.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

In the global GX context

This US-specific case study highlights the economic potential and policy dependencies of CCS retrofits, relevant to global discussions on transition finance and carbon pricing stability.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a detailed life cycle costing methodology for CCS projects that can be applied to other contexts.

🏢実務担当者:Demonstrates the importance of policy certainty for CCS investment decisions, useful for corporate energy transition planning.

🏛政策担当者:Emphasizes that stable, long-term tax credits are critical to de-risk CCS investments and attract private capital.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is widely regarded as a viable pathway for reducing greenhouse gas emissions; however, large-scale deployment remains constrained by project economics and policy uncertainty. This study presents a life cycle costing assessment of a proposed CCS retrofit at the Hunter Unit 3 coal-fired power plant in Emery County, Utah, encompassing carbon capture, transport, and subsurface storage. Results indicate that the project appears economically favorable under the assumptions of this screening-level analysis and under current policy conditions, with an estimated break-even time of approximately five years. The analysis identifies a large upfront capital investment exceeding $600,000,000, offset by planned revenue from federal tax credits totaling several billion dollars over the project lifetime. Sensitivity analyses show that project economics are dominated by capture costs and annual mass of CO2 sequestration rates, while storage and transport costs play secondary roles. A synthetic policy-perturbation analysis of the $85/ton tax credit further demonstrates that policy volatility materially increases uncertainty in investment returns. These results highlight both the economic potential of CCS retrofits at existing power plants and the critical role of stable long-term policy in enabling investment.

🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース

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