Assessing the Low-Carbon Transition of Manufacturing Clusters and Its Evolution: Evidence from China

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

🔬研究者:Use the 'measurement-evolution-mechanism-simulation' framework for cluster-level LCT studies in other contexts.

🏢実務担当者:Apply the evaluation indicator system to benchmark your manufacturing cluster's low-carbon progress against peers.

🏛政策担当者:Design differentiated low-carbon policies targeting technology diffusion and structural reform based on cluster maturity.

The low-carbon transition (LCT) of manufacturing clusters is a critical pathway to addressing bottlenecks in global climate governance and promoting sustainable economic development in developing countries. Accurately measuring the level of this transition and clarifying its dynamic trends are of great significance. Drawing on the economic rationale of a low-carbon economy, this study constructs a comprehensive evaluation indicator system and employs the entropy-weighted CRITIC-grey relational TOPSIS method to measure the LCT levels of China’s four major industrial bases from 2013 to 2023. Combined with convergence analysis, the Theil index, mechanism analysis, and policy scenario simulation, it systematically analyzes the characteristics of disparities and the underlying mechanisms. The study’s results show that low-carbon technology is the core driver of the LCT of the four major industrial bases. The LCT levels of the four major industrial bases have generally increased, with some bases exhibiting a catch-up effect internally. The overall disparity among the four major industrial bases has widened, primarily driven by intra-base differences. Specifically, the Beijing–Tianjin–Tangshan industrial base displays polarization characteristics, while the Central-Southern Liaoning industrial base shows a relatively low-level equilibrium. The transition of resource-based cities lags, mainly constrained by rigid industrial structures and insufficient investment in technology. Industrial structure optimization plays a certain role in improving resource-based regions, whereas technological innovation has a more pronounced effect in developed regions. This study constructs a comprehensive analytical framework of “measurement–evolution–mechanism–simulation,” which refines the quantitative evaluation system for the LCT of manufacturing clusters. The findings provide empirical support for formulating differentiated low-carbon policies for manufacturing clusters and optimizing coordinated emission reduction pathways, while also offering a reference paradigm for similar research in other developing countries.

• openalex https://doi.org/10.3390/su18094384first seen 2026-05-17 05:21:45