Building an Inclusive Just Transition Framework for Türkiye’s Fossil Fuel Workforce: An Input-Output Analysis
トルコの化石燃料労働者のための包摂的な公正移行フレームワークの構築：産業連関分析 (AI 翻訳)
Ahmet Atıl Aşıcı
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、トルコの化石燃料労働者の公正移行を目指し、グローバルな事例比較と産業連関分析を組み合わせている。石炭から農業への需要シフトが最も高い雇用創出効果（89.3億TL当たり135,617人）を持つことを示し、再スキルや地域多様化、社会的保護の重要性を強調する。トルコが新興国のモデルとなる可能性を示唆。
English
This paper develops a Just Transition framework for Türkiye's fossil fuel workforce by combining global case studies and Input-Output analysis. It finds that redirecting demand from coal to agriculture creates the most jobs (135,617 per 8.93 billion TL), and emphasizes reskilling, regional diversification, and social protection. Türkiye could serve as a model for emerging economies balancing climate action and labor equity.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
トルコの事例は、日本における石炭依存地域（例：北海道、福岡）の公正移行政策に示唆を与える。産業連関分析を用いた雇用影響の定量化は、日本の地域経済分析にも応用可能。
In the global GX context
This paper offers transferable insights for Just Transition policy design in coal-dependent regions globally. Its empirical IO methodology can be replicated to assess employment multipliers in other economies, including Japan's transition from coal.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides empirical employment multipliers across sectors from IO analysis, useful for Just Transition modeling and comparative studies.
🏢実務担当者:Offers concrete sectoral pathways for workforce redeployment and a framework for regional transition agencies.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for a national transition fund, targeted reskilling, and stakeholder engagement to ensure equitable phase-out of coal.
📄 Abstract（原文）
As Türkiye commits to achieving net-zero emissions by 2053, the phase-out of fossil fuels necessitates a Just Transition framework to mitigate socio-economic risks for workers and coal-dependent regions like Zonguldak, Soma, and Afşin-Elbistan. This study combines a global review of Just Transition practices with empirical Input-Output (IO) analysis of Türkiye’s labor market to identify equitable pathways for workforce redeployment and policy design. The study draws on comparative case studies—including Germany’s Ruhr region, Spain’s coal transition, and Poland’s Upper Silesia—to extract transferable lessons on reskilling, regional diversification, and social protection. Using Türkiye’s 2018 IO tables, the analysis quantifies employment multipliers across 24 sectors, revealing that redirecting demand from coal to agriculture yields the highest job creation potential (135,617 new jobs per 8.93 billion TL shifted), followed by retail, health services, and education. Conversely, shifting demand to petroleum products risks net job losses. Türkiye’s Just Transition requires targeted reskilling, linking fossil fuel workers to renewable energy and green manufacturing. Regional transition agencies should oversee diversification, leveraging renewable hubs. Social safety nets like wage subsidies and portable benefits are vital. A national Just Transition Fund, funded by redirected subsidies, can drive change. Stakeholder engagement ensures inclusive governance. By blending global best practices with local realities, Türkiye can become a model for emerging economies, balancing climate action with labor equity and regional resilience.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.54752/ct.1750387first seen 2026-05-15 17:49:20
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