Exploring the impacts of demand scenarios, weather variability and mitigation of emissions on Morocco’s hydrogen market and renewable transition pathways
需要シナリオ、気象変動、排出削減がモロッコの水素市場と再生可能エネルギー移行経路に与える影響の探求 (AI 翻訳)
E. P'erez, L. Jansen, Benedikt Haeckner
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
モロッコの水素市場と再生可能エネルギー移行を2035年までモデル化。需要シナリオと気象変動の影響を分析した結果、輸出志向と国内再配置の両シナリオで再生可能エネルギー容量の3倍増が必要。低い資金調達コストがCO2制約よりもシステム費用に大きな影響を与える。政策立案に根拠を提供。
English
This study evaluates Morocco's hydrogen transition through 2035 using a sector-coupled capacity expansion model. Both industry reallocation and export-oriented scenarios require tripling of renewable and electrolyzer capacities. Lower financing costs have a greater effect than stricter CO2 constraints or weather variability. The trade-off between domestic energy security and export competitiveness is pronounced, but both pathways are feasible.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本にとって、水素サプライチェーン構築や国際的な水素市場参入の参考となる。特に、アフリカからの水素調達や投資リスク評価に示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
This paper provides evidence-based insights for global hydrogen markets, particularly for countries aiming to become hydrogen exporters. It highlights the critical role of financing costs and infrastructure readiness, relevant for transition finance and international energy cooperation.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:エネルギーシステムモデリングや水素経済分析の研究者は、モロッコの事例から不確実性下の移行経路の知見を得られる。
🏢実務担当者:水素プロジェクトの投資家や事業者は、資金調達コストと需要シナリオの重要性を認識できる。
🏛政策担当者:モロッコおよびEUの政策担当者は、国内エネルギー安全保障と輸出競争力のバランスを取るための指針を得られる。
📄 Abstract（原文）
The global demand for green hydrogen and its derivatives is growing rapidly as a cornerstone for decarbonizing hard-to-abate sectors. Morocco, endowed with abundant solar and wind resources, ambitions to capture up to 4% of the global PtX market by 2030, positioning itself as a strategic partner for Europe's energy transition. Yet, uncertainty persists regarding European demand trajectories, infrastructure readiness, and investment risks. This study evaluates Morocco's hydrogen transition through 2035 using a sector-coupled capacity expansion model. We compare industry reallocation and hydrogen export-oriented scenarios, assessing their impacts under interannual weather variability and financial sensitivities. Both scenarios require a tripling of current renewable and electrolyzer capacities, with hydrogen demand reaching approximately up to 38 TWh by 2035. Lower financing costs (WACC) have a greater effect on system costs and competitiveness than stricter CO2 constraints or weather variability. The trade- off between domestic energy security and export competitiveness is pronounced, but both pathways are technically feasible and aligned with Morocco's strategic energy goals. These findings provide evidence-based guidance for policymakers to balance Morocco's domestic and export ambitions in the evolving hydrogen market.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.1049/icp.2025.4550first seen 2026-05-15 19:47:44
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