Electricity Network Capacity Needs for Industrial Decarbonization in China: Pathways to Net-Zero under Grid Constraints
中国の産業脱炭素化に必要な電力ネットワーク容量：グリッド制約下でのネットゼロ経路 (AI 翻訳)
Mohammed Touitou
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、中国の産業セクターの電化に必要な送電網容量を地域別に評価。バランス型脱炭素シナリオでは、西部・中部で2040年以降に容量不足が顕在化し、55%以上の大規模工場が制約に直面する可能性を示す。政策提言として地域別の送電網強化と計画の統合を挙げる。
English
This paper provides the first spatially explicit assessment of electricity grid constraints for industrial decarbonization in China, projecting that over 55% of large industrial sites could face capacity shortfalls by 2040-2050 without targeted investments. It offers policy recommendations for region-specific grid reinforcement and integration of network constraints into national energy models.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
中国の産業脱炭素化における送電網制約を定量的に示した点は、日本でも同様の課題が指摘される中で示唆に富む。日本のGX政策（例：電化推進と系統増強の整合）に比較材料を提供する。
In the global GX context
This study provides critical insights for global climate policy by demonstrating that grid constraints can significantly hinder industrial electrification, a key decarbonization strategy. It underscores the need for coordinated infrastructure planning globally, especially in large emitting economies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:The spatially disaggregated modeling approach offers a replicable method for assessing grid constraints in industrial decarbonization pathways.
🏢実務担当者:Utility and industrial planners can use the findings to prioritize grid investments in regions facing capacity shortfalls.
🏛政策担当者:The paper provides evidence for integrating network constraints into national energy and climate plans to avoid bottlenecks.
📄 Abstract（原文）
China’s commitment to peak carbon emissions by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060 requires deep decarbonization of its industrial sector, responsible for over 60% of national energy-related CO₂ emissions. This paper assesses the electricity network capacity needed to support industrial electrification under three scenarios: Business-as-Usual, Balanced Decarbonization and Max Electrification. Using a spatially disaggregated, province-level modeling approach, we project industrial electricity demand through 2050 and compare it to grid headroom to identify infrastructure constraints. Results show that while eastern coastal provinces can accommodate demand growth through 2030, central and western regions face significant capacity shortfalls by 2040–2050. Without targeted investments in transmission and distribution networks, over 55% of large point-source industrial sites could face grid constraints – threatening national decarbonization goals. Policy recommendations include region-specific grid reinforcement, alignment of electrification with infrastructure planning, and integration of network constraints into national energy models. This study provides the first spatially explicit assessment of electricity grid limitations for industrial decarbonization in China, offering key insights for policymakers and planners navigating the net-zero transition. The findings also support progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals – specifically SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy), SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure), and SDG 13 (Climate Action) – while aligning with China’s ecological civilization strategy for green and inclusive industrial transformation.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.35784/preko.7925first seen 2026-05-15 17:46:17
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