Applying the Bow Tie Method to Evaluate Emerging Risk: The Case of Carbon Capture and Water Stress
ボウタイ法を用いた新興リスク評価：炭素回収と水ストレスの事例 (AI 翻訳)
M Weisner, Vincent Philip Paglioni, Ryan P. Scott
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、二酸化炭素回収・利用・貯留（CCUS）の開発におけるリスクを評価するため、ボウタイリスク評価フレームワークを導入する。コロラド州の事例分析から、CCUSの定義や適用のばらつきが説明責任や調整の欠如を生み、水利用に関する一貫した測定メカニズムが欠如していることを明らかにした。このフレームワークは、断片的な知識とガバナンスシステム内に隠れたリスクを可視化する実践的なツールを提供する。
English
This paper introduces a bow tie risk assessment framework to evaluate risks in CCUS development. Applying it to Colorado, it reveals how inconsistencies in CCUS definitions and applications lead to accountability gaps and lack of coordinated water impact measurement. The framework helps visualize hidden risks in fragmented knowledge and governance systems, offering a practical tool for local decision-makers.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本でもCCUSの実証・導入が進む中、水資源への影響評価は重要課題。本フレームワークは、地域レベルでのリスク特定とガバナンス改善に示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
This study addresses the fragmentation of CCUS risk governance, a global challenge. The bow tie framework offers a structured approach for integrating environmental and policy perspectives, relevant to regions advancing CCUS deployment.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a structured method for analyzing interdisciplinary CCUS risks and governance gaps.
🏢実務担当者:Offers a practical tool for identifying and organizing CCUS-related risks, especially water impacts.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for consistent definitions and accountability mechanisms in CCUS governance.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Emerging environmental risks are often shaped not by a lack of knowledge alone, but by fragmented information across systems, disciplines, and levels of governance. This fragmentation limits the ability of local decision-makers to identify and respond effectively to rapidly developing technologies. This paper introduces a novel bow tie risk assessment framework as a practical tool for identifying and organizing these risks. By integrating engineering, environmental, and policy perspectives, the approach captures interactions across land use, water systems, and governance structures. We apply the framework to carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) development in Colorado. Analysis shows that tracking how CCS, CCU, and CCUS are defined and applied across institutions reveals gaps in accountability, coordination, and risk identification. These inconsistencies contribute to policy drift, obscure system-level impacts, and limit stakeholder engagement. The bow tie framework makes these gaps visible, drawing attention to risks that remain hidden within fragmented knowledge and governance systems. Findings from the Colorado case study indicate that current CCUS governance lacks consistent mechanisms to define, measure, and account for water use and impacts across institutions. The analysis highlights a critical gap in how water is conceptualized and measured, particularly where it may be permanently removed or altered through subsurface injection, storage, or disposal in ways that do not align with conventional distinctions between consumptive and non-consumptive use. The method provides a practical tool for local and regional governments to identify risks, engage broader stakeholders, and support coordinated, interdisciplinary, and adaptive decision-making.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70296first seen 2026-06-27 04:54:43
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