Drivers of circular economy transition towards sustainability: A panel data analysis across 18 EU countries
循環経済の持続可能性への移行要因：EU18か国のパネルデータ分析 (AI 翻訳)
Judit Oláh, Mohammad Bin Amin, Mehedi Hasan, Md. Saddam Hossain, Md. Atikur Rahaman
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は2010～2019年のEU18か国のパネルデータを用い、循環経済（CE）がCO2排出と失業に与える影響を分析。結果、循環材料使用率1%上昇でCO2排出が0.048%、失業が0.097%減少。経済成長はCE推進効果があるが排出増も招き、交通再エネは排出削減効果があるが失業増加のリスクを示す。CE政策には多元的効果の政策連携が必要。
English
This study uses panel data from 18 EU countries (2010–2019) to analyze the impact of circular economy (CE) on CO2 emissions and unemployment. A 1% increase in circular material use reduces CO2 by 0.048% and unemployment by 0.097%. Economic growth drives CE adoption but raises emissions, while renewable energy in transport cuts emissions but increases unemployment, highlighting trade-offs for integrated policy design.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本でも循環経済と脱炭素の連携が重要視される中、本論文は欧州データに基づく実証結果を提供する。日本の「循環経済ビジョン」や廃棄物発電・リサイクル政策の効果測定に示唆を与え、資源効率と雇用創出の関係を定量的に評価する参考となる。
In the global GX context
For the global GX context, this paper provides empirical evidence on the environmental and social co-benefits and trade-offs of circular economy transitions. It supports the design of integrated policies that balance climate mitigation, job creation, and growth, relevant to the just transition discourse and SDG alignment worldwide.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on synergies and trade-offs between CE, emissions, and unemployment, advancing Ecological Modernization Theory.
🏢実務担当者:Offers insights for corporate circular economy strategies by quantifying CE's dual impact on carbon reduction and labor markets.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for integrated policies that address growth-emissions coupling and transitional unemployment risks in CE transitions.
📄 Abstract（原文）
• 1% rise in CE cuts CO 2 by 0.048% and unemployment by 0.097% (SDG 13, 8, 10). • Growth drives CE (+0.806%) but also emissions (+0.504%), revealing growth-emissions tension. • Transport renewables cut CO 2 (−0.104%) but raise unemployment (+0.217%), signaling displacement risks. • Waste management creates jobs (−0.728% unemployment), transforming waste into green infrastructure. • Population density hinders circularity (−2.580%), requiring targeted urban spatial policies. The transition to a circular economy (CE) is increasingly promoted as a strategy for achieving sustainable development, yet empirical evidence on its simultaneous impacts across environmental, economic, and social dimensions remains limited. Anchored in Ecological Modernization Theory, this study examines how CE adoption influences sustainability outcomes in 18 European Union countries over 2010–2019 using two-way fixed-effects panel regressions on data from Eurostat, World Bank, and OECD sources. Circular material uses rate serves as the core CE indicator, with key drivers including renewable energy shares, renewable energy in transport, municipal waste, and socio-economic controls. Results show that a 1% increase in circular material use is associated with a 0.048% reduction in CO 2 emissions (p = 0.002), confirming significant environmental benefits (SDG 13, SDG 12). Renewable energy in transport exerts a stronger mitigating effect (−0.104%, p < 0.001), supporting sectoral decarbonization (SDG 7). Economic growth strongly drives CE adoption (0.806%, p = 0.001), but CE shows no significant direct effect on GDP per capita, indicating relative rather than absolute decoupling. Socially, CE modestly reduces unemployment (−0.097%, p = 0.022), while efficient waste management generates substantial labor-market benefits (−0.728%, p < 0.001), aligning with SDG 8 and SDG 10. However, renewables in transport associate with higher unemployment (0.217%, p = 0.001), highlighting transitional displacement risks. The findings affirm CE’s potential to deliver environmental and social co-benefits under deliberate policy steering, while underscoring persistent growth-emissions coupling and spatial constraints (negative density effect: −2.580%, p = 0.011). These results extend Ecological Modernization Theory by revealing both synergies and trade-offs in European CE transitions and provide evidence-based guidance for integrated policies that maximize multi-dimensional sustainability outcomes.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1016/j.horiz.2026.100192first seen 2026-05-17 07:25:29 · last seen 2026-05-20 05:16:31
🔔 こうした論文の新着を逃したくない方は キーワードアラート に登録（無料・3キーワードまで）。
gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。