Can We Replace Fossil Fuels?
化石燃料を代替できるか？ (AI 翻訳)
Kourosh Vafi
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
このホワイトペーパーは、化石燃料の非化石代替の可能性を検討し、国際的な気候政策にもかかわらず、2024年時点で化石燃料が世界エネルギーの87%を占め、排出量が増加していることを示す。現在のトレンドでは、1.5°Cまたは2°C目標の炭素収支を達成する移行速度にはほど遠いと結論づける。
English
This white paper reviews historical trends in global energy and emissions, finding that despite climate policies, fossil fuels still supplied 87% of energy in 2024 and emissions continue to rise. It concludes that current transition rates are insufficient to meet carbon budgets for 1.5°C or 2°C warming limits.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
本論文は、日本のGX政策にも重要な示唆を与える。化石燃料への依存が続く中、日本のエネルギー移行の加速が急務であることを示す。
In the global GX context
This paper provides a sobering global assessment that challenges the pace of decarbonization, relevant for global GX frameworks like TCFD and ISSB as it highlights the gap between targets and real progress.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:The paper offers a macro-level analysis of energy transition progress, useful for scholars studying decarbonization rates and policy effectiveness.
🏢実務担当者:Corporate sustainability teams can use this to temper expectations about the speed of transition and inform scenario planning for climate risk.
🏛政策担当者:Policymakers should note that existing policies have not delivered the required transition rate, necessitating stronger measures to meet carbon budgets.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The replacement of fossil fuels with non-fossil energy sources has been proposed as a way to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and limit global warming. This white paper reviews historical trends in global energy consumption, greenhouse gas emissions, and the growth of fossil and non-fossil energy sources using publicly available international energy and emissions datasets. The analysis shows that despite nearly three decades of international climate policies following the Kyoto Protocol, fossil fuels still supplied 87% of global energy in 2024, while global greenhouse gas emissions continued to rise. Although renewable energy, electrification, nuclear power, carbon capture, and carbon storage are available technologies for reducing emissions, current trends in energy demand, infrastructure development, and emissions growth do not suggest a transition rate consistent with meeting the remaining carbon budgets required to limit global warming to 1.5°C or 2°C.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20171913first seen 2026-06-02 04:40:41 · last seen 2026-06-03 04:45:01
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