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Hydrogen Transport and Economics: Enabling the Energy Transition for a Sustainable Future

水素輸送と経済学:持続可能な未来へのエネルギー移行を実現する (AI 翻訳)

W. Vielma, M. Trujillo, E. Escobar-Burnham

Offshore Technology Conference学会2026-04-27#水素Origin: Global
DOI: 10.4043/36923-ms
原典: https://doi.org/10.4043/36923-ms

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本稿は、水素輸送の技術的・経済的課題を分析し、集中型と分散型の生産方式を比較。現在の液体水素輸送コストは天然ガスの4~5倍だが、分散型生産(工場近接)が重工業の脱炭素に有望。コスト目標2~3ドル/kg達成には分散型インフラへの投資が必要と指摘。2030年頃のグローバル水素経済の展望を示す。

English

This paper analyzes the technical and economic challenges of hydrogen transport, comparing centralized vs. decentralized production. Current LH2 transport costs are 4-5 times higher than natural gas, but decentralized production near consumption sites (e.g., steel/cement factories) offers a viable pathway for decarbonizing heavy industry. Achieving a target cost of $2-3/kg requires investment in decentralized infrastructure. The paper outlines technology status, cost analysis, and projections for a global hydrogen economy emerging by 2030.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本は水素社会実現に向け、豪州などからの水素輸入を計画。本稿の輸送コスト分析は、日本の水素サプライチェーン構築に直接的な示唆を与える。分散型生産の優位性は、国内の産業集積地での水素利用戦略にも応用可能。

In the global GX context

Hydrogen transport is a critical bottleneck for the global energy transition. This paper provides essential cost benchmarks and technology comparisons that inform international hydrogen trade and infrastructure planning, relevant for regions like Europe and Asia that rely on imports.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a structured cost analysis and technology overview that can inform further modeling of hydrogen supply chains and transport economics.

🏢実務担当者:Highlights the economic advantage of decentralized hydrogen production for heavy industry decarbonization, useful for corporate strategy on hydrogen adoption.

🏛政策担当者:Emphasizes the need for cost targets and infrastructure investments to enable a global hydrogen economy, guiding policy on subsidies and R&D.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Over the past few years, hydrogen (H2) has garnered exponentially increasing interest as a potential primary energy carrier of the future. While significant progress has been made in analyzing and optimizing hydrogen production processes, relatively little attention has been directed toward hydrogen transport. This aspect is critical, as it is widely regarded as a key bottleneck limiting the scalability and economic viability of hydrogen adoption. For pure hydrogen (H2), transportation in liquid form is referred to as liquid hydrogen (LH2). Alternatively, H2 can be converted into ammonia (NH3) or stored in other liquid organic hydrogen carriers (LOHCs) for transport. However, hydrogen transport presents several technical challenges that current technologies struggle to address effectively. Key issues include hydrogen's low density, high permeability, volatility, safety concerns, and the associated high production and handling costs. Furthermore, the transportation phase, regardless of the chosen form, introduces additional complexities that significantly impact the overall economic analysis and commercial viability of hydrogen adoption, ultimately influencing its scalability as a sustainable energy carrier. Focusing on the two primary clean hydrogen (H2) production processes: green hydrogen (via electrolysis powered by renewable energy) and blue hydrogen (produced from natural gas with carbon capture), this analysis highlights significant cost challenges associated with transporting liquid hydrogen (LH2) using current technologies. Specifically, centralized hydrogen production and subsequent transport result in costs that are approximately 4-5 times higher than those of natural gas, rendering it economically non-viable under present conditions. However, decentralized hydrogen production, where H2 is generated near the point of consumption (e.g., at cement or steel factories), offers a more promising pathway. By reducing the transport requirements, decentralized production positions hydrogen as a viable solution for decarbonizing heavy industries, which account for 22% of global greenhouse gas emissions. For hydrogen transport to be cost-effective, the target cost for the transmission and distribution of LH2, ammonia (NH3), or liquid organic hydrogen carriers (LOHCs) is set at approximately USD 2-3/kg. Achieving this target will require substantial investments, particularly in decentralized production infrastructure. While transforming H2 into NH3 or LOHC adds energy intensity and cost, these forms are currently the most feasible options for long-distance transport, paving the way for a global hydrogen economy to emerge by approximately 2030 and beyond. This manuscript outlines the current status of technologies for transporting LH2, NH3, and LOHCs, along with a simplified cost analysis and projections through 2030. It also examines key challenges associated with centralized and decentralized hydrogen production, highlighting their implications for transport. Brief discussions are supported by relevant economic analyses, providing insights into the viability and scalability of these technologies for building a sustainable hydrogen economy.

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