Towards a Low-Carbon Economy: The Role of Financial and Trade Policies in Turkey’s Energy Transition
低炭素経済に向けて：トルコのエネルギー転換における金融・貿易政策の役割 (AI 翻訳)
Gülay Özkan, İrfan Kadıoğlu
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、トルコのグリーン転換における金融・貿易要因を、Toda-Yamamoto因果分析を用いて検証。1990～2022年の時系列データから、銀行融資が再生可能エネルギー生産を促進する一方、炭素集約産業への融資を通じて排出も増加させることを確認。FDIは再生可能エネルギーに弱い正の影響を与えるが、排出には強い正の影響があり、汚染逃避仮説を支持。貿易開放は技術移転を通じて再エネを促進するが、生産・物流増加で排出も増加。複雑な双方向因果関係が示され、統合的な金融・貿易・環境政策の必要性を強調する。
English
This study examines financial and trade determinants of Turkey's green transition using Toda-Yamamoto causality analysis on 1990-2022 data. Results show bank credit boosts renewable energy but also increases carbon emissions by supporting carbon-intensive sectors. FDI weakly helps renewables but strongly raises emissions, confirming the Pollution Haven Hypothesis. Trade openness fosters renewables via technology transfer but also increases emissions. Complex bidirectional causalities highlight the need for integrated policies. The paper offers empirical evidence from an emerging economy.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
トルコは日本と直接の関連は薄いが、新興国におけるグリーン転換の金融・貿易政策の実証分析として、日本の海外投資や技術協力の文脈で参考になる可能性がある。特にFDIの排出影響や銀行融資の二面性は、日本の国際協力における留意点を示唆する。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence on the complex role of financial and trade policies in an emerging economy's energy transition. It contributes to global GX literature by showing that bank credit and FDI can have contradictory effects on renewable energy and emissions, urging careful policy design in developing countries.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Offers time-series causality evidence on financial and trade determinants of renewable energy and emissions in an emerging economy.
🏢実務担当者:For corporations or investors in Turkey, highlights risks and opportunities in green finance and trade openness.
🏛政策担当者:Turkish policymakers can use the findings to design integrated policies that align financial, trade, and environmental goals.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This study critically examines the financial and trade determinants of the green transition in Turkey by employing Toda-Yamamoto causality analysis. Using time-series data for 1990–2022, it analyzes how bank credit volume, foreign direct investment (FDI), and trade openness affect renewable energy production and carbon emissions. The results confirm that bank credit significantly promotes renewable energy production but also increases carbon emissions by supporting carbon-intensive sectors. FDI shows a weak positive impact on renewable energy but a strong positive impact on carbon emissions, which is consistent with the Pollution Haven Hypothesis. Trade openness supports renewable energy development through technology transfer, but also raises emissions via increased production and logistics. The causality results confirm complex bidirectional relationships between the variables, highlighting the need for integrated financial, trade, and environmental policies. Despite certain data and scope limitations, this study provides robust policy insights that emphasize the qualitative improvement of green finance, sector-focused incentives for clean investments, and sustainable trade practices. Future research should explore micro-level data and sectoral specifics to deepen our understanding of green transition mechanisms in emerging economies. This study contributes to global literature by offering empirical evidence and policy reflections relevant to developing countries that aim to align growth with sustainability.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openaire https://doi.org/10.30910/turkjans.1752904first seen 2026-05-14 21:45:54
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