AtlantECO Deliverable - D08.4 - Report on socio- economic predictions
AtlantECO Deliverable - D08.4 - 社会経済予測に関する報告書 (AI 翻訳)
Gillian B. Ainsworth, Germain Bénard, Francesco Bosello, Donata Melaku Canu, Elisa Delpiazzo, Jacobo Feás, Thomas L. Frölicher, Marion Gehlen, R.M. Key, Simone Libralato, Katherine C. Longo, Marco Reale, Jonathan Rogerson, Gabriele Standardi, Alessandro Tagliabue, Marcello Vichi, S. Villasante, Mathieu Vrac, Serena Zunino
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本報告書は、大西洋の生態系サービスに対する将来の社会経済的影響を予測するための統合アプローチを提示する。ICESフレームワークを用いたマクロ経済モデリング、参加型マッピング、アンケート調査を組み合わせ、漁業などの生態系サービスの将来トレードオフを評価する。また、マイクロプラスチックの生産・拡散予測も含む。
English
This deliverable presents an integrated approach to predict future socio-economic impacts on Atlantic ecosystem services. It combines macroeconomic modeling using the ICES framework, participatory mapping, and surveys to assess trade-offs in provisioning services like fisheries. Ancillary work projects microplastic production and diffusion linked to socio-economic drivers.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本において、本報告書の手法は海域生態系サービスの将来予測に応用可能であるが、直接的なGX政策や開示基準との関連は薄い。ただし、炭素隔離サービスの評価は気候変動対策の一環として参考になる可能性がある。
In the global GX context
This report contributes to global ecosystem services modeling but is not directly linked to corporate disclosure or transition finance frameworks. Its methods for socio-economic projections could inform integrated assessment models used in climate policy.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a multi-model framework for socio-economic projections of ecosystem services, useful for integrated assessment modeling.
🏛政策担当者:Offers insights into future trade-offs of Atlantic ecosystem services under different socio-economic scenarios.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The Work Package 8 (WP8) of the AtlantECO project focuses on anticipating future changes in basin-scale Atlantic ecosystem services in response to environmental and socio-economic drivers. In alignment with AtlantECO's Objective 4, WP8 aims to deliver a systemic approach to support science-informed decision-making through scenario development, predictive modeling, and integrated analyses of ecosystem health and services. WP8 combines climate projections, biogeochemical models, and socio-economic analysis to evaluate risks of tipping points, regime shifts, and changes in provisioning, supporting, and regulating services such as carbon sequestration, nutrient recycling, and primary production. A significant portion of the results was already achieved prior to the official deadline and presented in previous interim reports an deliverables. However, as this is the final report, these results will be revisited and summarized in the relevant sections to ensure completeness and coherence. WP8 is structured around four main deliverables, each addressing a critical aspect of the prediction and evaluation of ecosystem services under future climate and socio-economic scenarios. Here we present the deliverable D8.4 : Report on socio-economic predictions. This report integrates economic and social projections into the ecosystem services framework. It includes macro-economic modeling using the ICES framework to simulate future trajectories of provisioning services (notably fisheries) and assesses socio-cultural values through participatory mapping and surveys. The combined economic and cultural valuation will provide a comprehensive picture of future ecosystem service trade-offs. An ancillary work proposes projections of microplastic production and diffusion in the Atlantic linked to social economic drivers of development.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19576145first seen 2026-05-05 19:13:42
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