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Social Acceptability and Transport: An Energy System–Optimisation- Based Analysis of the European Case

社会的受容性と輸送:欧州の事例に基づくエネルギーシステム最適化分析 (AI 翻訳)

Valeria Di Cosmo, Matteo Nicoli, Dario Cottafava, Alessio Vai

Economics of Energy and Environmental Policy📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-06-07#エネルギー転換Origin: EU対象セクター: transport
DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.15.1.mnic
原典: https://doi.org/10.5547/2160-5890.15.1.mnic

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、欧州連合(EU)の輸送部門における低炭素技術の社会的受容性をエネルギーシステム最適化モデルに組み込み、政策シナリオを分析。乗用車では受容性向上が電化を加速させるが、貨物部門では規制が必要。深い脱炭素化には重要原材料の需要増加が伴うため、リサイクル政策が重要。

English

This study integrates social acceptability into the TEMOA-Europe energy system optimization model to analyze EU transport decarbonization. It finds that reducing perceived risk significantly accelerates passenger car electrification, while freight is less responsive to demand-side measures, requiring stronger regulation. Deep decarbonization also increases critical raw material demand, highlighting the need for recycling policies.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

欧州の輸送脱炭素化政策に社会的受容性を組み込んだモデル分析。日本の運輸部門のGX戦略(EV普及、水素トラックなど)にも同様の知見が応用可能。特に、政策の実効性を高めるには、消費者の受容性向上策が規制と併せて重要であることを示唆。

In the global GX context

This paper underscores the importance of social acceptability in transport decarbonization, a factor often missing in energy models. For global policymakers, it highlights that demand-side measures can complement regulatory mandates, but their effectiveness varies by sector. The findings on critical raw materials reinforce the need for circular economy strategies.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a methodology to incorporate social acceptability into ESOMs and scenario analysis for transport decarbonization.

🏢実務担当者:Offers insights on how reducing perceived risk (e.g., through financing or awareness) can accelerate EV adoption, relevant for fleet operators and OEMs.

🏛政策担当者:Demonstrates that passenger car electrification responds to demand-side incentives while freight requires binding emissions constraints.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Social acceptance of low-carbon transport technologies is a crucial but frequently underrepresented dimension in energy system optimization models (ESOMs), despite its potential relevance for the design of effective decarbonization policies. This study examines the role of social acceptability in the transition of the European Union transport sector toward climate neutrality by integrating behavioral factors into the open-source ESOM TEMOA-Europe. In particular, social acceptability is represented through technology-specific hurdle rates, used as proxies for perceived risk and financing barriers, alongside assumptions on declining investment costs for low-carbon vehicle technologies. Four scenarios are developed and compared: (i) a Base scenario, (ii) a scenario with reduced hurdle rates for battery electric and fuel-cell vehicles, (iii) a CostSC scenario with lower investment costs for green truck technologies, and a Net0 scenario (iv) imposing a binding net-zero emissions constraint by 2050. The analysis evaluates these scenarios based on technology uptake, system costs, CO2 emissions, and critical raw material requirements. Results show that, in the passenger car sector, lower perceived risk can substantially accelerate electrification and achieve emissions reductions comparable to those obtained under stringent regulatory constraints, in some cases at lower overall system cost. By contrast, the freight sector appears considerably less responsive to such demand-side measures, indicating the need for stronger regulatory intervention. The findings also highlight that deep transport decarbonization implies a substantial increase in demand for critical raw materials, reinforcing the importance of complementary recycling and supply-chain policies.

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