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Just Labor Transition and the renewable energy-employment nexus: empirical evidence from OECD countries

公正な労働移行と再生可能エネルギー・雇用の関係:OECD諸国の実証分析 (AI 翻訳)

Hanbee Lee, Hye Jin Kim, Jihoon Shin

Journal of Environmental Policy & Planningプレプリント2026-07-07#エネルギー転換Origin: Global対象セクター: cross_sector
DOI: 10.1080/1523908x.2026.2691167
原典: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5163992

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、再生可能エネルギーへの移行が雇用に与える影響が、労働者支援への公的支出によって条件づけられることを、OECD諸国の動的パネルデータを用いて実証した。分析の結果、労働支援支出が低い場合、再生可能エネルギー消費は雇用率と負の関連を示すが、高い水準では正の関連に転じることが明らかとなった。この知見は、単なる雇用創出の有無ではなく、政策条件の重要性を提起する。

English

This study empirically examines the renewable energy-employment nexus across OECD countries using dynamic panel models. It finds that public spending on workforce support programs significantly conditions this relationship: at low support levels, renewable energy consumption is negatively associated with employment, while at higher levels the association turns positive. The findings shift the debate from whether the transition creates jobs to under what policy conditions.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本でも再エネ拡大に伴う雇用への懸念が指摘されているが、本論文は労働支援政策が雇用最大化の鍵であることを示唆する。日本の「GX実現に向けた基本方針」や労働政策との連動が重要となる。

In the global GX context

This paper provides cross-national evidence that workforce support programs are crucial for realizing the employment benefits of the energy transition. It reinforces the Just Transition framework advocated by global bodies like the ILO and aligns with the social dimension increasingly emphasized in national climate strategies.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides empirical validation for the central claim of Just Labor Transition theory, showing that policy design matters for employment outcomes.

🏛政策担当者:Suggests that labor market policies should be integrated with renewable energy deployment strategies to maximize employment benefits.

📄 Abstract(原文)

The accelerating shift to renewable energy has engendered public opposition rooted in fears of job losses. This poses a threat to the momentum of energy transition and underscores the importance of Just Transition. While the scholarship on Just Labor Transition that specifically focuses on workforce protection has grown, the claim that proactive workforce support programs are essential to mitigate the socioeconomic costs of the transition and maximize its benefits requires empirical scrutiny. Therefore, this study investigates whether public spending on workforce support programs conditions the renewable energy-employment nexus. Using a dynamic panel model across OECD countries, this study finds a statistically significant and positive interaction between renewable energy consumption and workforce support spending. At low levels of workforce support spending, renewable energy consumption is negatively associated with the employment rate, whereas at higher levels the association turns positive. By grounding the central proposition of Just Labor Transition in cross-national empirical evidence, this study shifts the analytical question from whether renewable energy transition is uniformly job-creating to the policy conditions under which its employment potential is more likely to be realized.

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