Two Non-Green Energy Systems: Repeatability Across Generations – A Physically Grounded Framework for Long-Term Viability
二つの非グリーンエネルギーシステム：世代を超えた反復可能性－長期的存続可能性のための物理的基盤に基づく枠組み (AI 翻訳)
Ivar Backlund
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本稿は、エネルギーシステムが100～500年にわたって生態的・物質的・エネルギー的制約内で維持可能かを評価する「世代を超えた反復可能性」枠組みを提示する。化石燃料システムと電気化・再エネ・鉱物集約型システムの両方を非グリーンと位置づけ、十分性と地域民主主義の重要性を論じる。EUの安全保障志向や企業形態改革にも言及。
English
This paper proposes a framework of 'Repeatability Across Generations' to assess whether energy systems can sustain over 100-500 years within ecological and resource limits. It argues that both fossil and renewable/mineral-intensive systems are 'non-green' under this lens, advocating for sufficiency, local democratic control, and corporate reform. Updates cover EU security concerns.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本のGX文脈では、SSBJや有報における長期戦略と整合する概念ではないが、資源制約と十分性の議論は日本のエネルギー政策（水素・アンモニア・再エネ大量導入）の根本的再考を促す可能性がある。
In the global GX context
Globally, this framework challenges the dominant 'green growth' narrative by emphasizing physical limits, sufficiency, and intergenerational repeatability. It critiques the material intensity of current energy transition pathways, resonating with debates on critical minerals, circular economy, and post-growth approaches.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:A critical lens for evaluating long-term sustainability of energy systems beyond techno-optimism.
🏢実務担当者:Strategic input for companies to rethink business models under sufficiency and circularity.
🏛政策担当者:Challenges policy focus on scaling renewables without addressing material limits and democratic safeguards.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This document presents Time Step 3 – Repeatability Across Generations as a physically grounded framework for assessing whether energy systems, infrastructures, business models and industrial development pathways can be maintained over 100–500 years within ecological, material and energy limits. The starting point is not to choose in advance between different technologies, but to ask the same question of all of them: can they be built, maintained and repeated over several system lifecycles without depleting critical resources, undermining ecosystems or shifting costs onto future generations? The document develops the thesis that contemporary societies are, in practice, operating two non-green energy systems in parallel: a fossil-based, relatively low-material-intensity system, and a rapidly expanding, mineral-intensive system built around electrification, wind power, solar power, batteries, power grids and associated mining and industrial chains. Against this background, sufficiency is formulated as the direction of travel, and Repeatability Across Generations as a framework for assessing what can be considered sustainable in the long term. The text also addresses the importance of locally binding influence and municipal veto power as safeguards for sustainability, long-term stewardship and local democratic anchoring. Version note for 4.8:In this version, Chapter 9 has been updated to address more clearly the EU’s reorientation towards security of supply, crisis preparedness, strategic control, technological scaling and high-tech military-industrial development, as well as the consequences for the environment and climate. A new note has also been added arguing that the corporate form needs to be reformed and made compatible with long-term repeatability. This is the latest English version of the document.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18236660first seen 2026-05-18 04:33:05 · last seen 2026-05-20 04:48:41
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