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Does Geopolitical Risk Induce Comparative Advantage in Low‐Carbon Energy Trade? Insights on Climate Policy and Innovation Business Strategies

地政学的リスクは低炭素エネルギー貿易における比較優位を誘発するか?気候政策とイノベーションビジネス戦略からの洞察 (AI 翻訳)

Jiyang Cheng, H. Almugren, J. Koltai, C. Troise, Armando Papa

Business Strategy and the Environment📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-02-11#エネルギー転換Origin: Global経営インパクト: 調達リスク
DOI: 10.1002/bse.70587
原典: https://doi.org/10.1002/bse.70587

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

この研究は、地政学的リスクが27カ国における低炭素エネルギー製品の貿易比較優位に与える影響を初めて実証的に分析した。パネル回帰モデルを用いた結果、地政学的リスクは比較優位を損なうが、国内の低炭素エネルギーイノベーションはそれを強化することが示された。一方、低炭素エネルギー政策自体は有意な効果を持たなかった。

English

This study empirically examines how geopolitical risk affects countries' comparative advantage in low-carbon energy trade across 27 countries from 2000-2021. Panel regression results show that geopolitical risk undermines comparative advantage, while domestic low-carbon energy innovation enhances it; low-carbon energy policy has no significant effect.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本はエネルギー輸入依存度が高く、地政学的リスクに敏感な国である。この研究の示唆は、日本の低炭素エネルギー貿易戦略において、イノベーション支援政策と地政学的リスク軽減策の組み合わせが重要であることを示している。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a global perspective on how geopolitical tensions shape clean energy trade competitiveness. For policymakers and firms, it highlights that innovation support, rather than general climate policy, is crucial for building resilient comparative advantage in low-carbon energy trade.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Researchers studying the intersection of geopolitics and energy transition will find novel empirical evidence on how geopolitical risk undermines trade comparative advantage.

🏢実務担当者:Corporate strategists in low-carbon energy sectors should consider diversifying supply chains to reduce exposure to geopolitical disruptions.

🏛政策担当者:Climate policymakers should complement innovation incentives with measures to insulate green value chains from geopolitical risks.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Given the significant surge in greenhouse gas emissions over the past several decades, the demand for low‐carbon energy products has increased globally. However, geopolitical risks and tensions have also been escalating, which can reshape the trade of low‐carbon energy products. Despite growing work on geopolitical risk and energy transition, no study has yet examined how geopolitical tensions reshape countries' revealed comparative advantage in low‐carbon energy trade. This study therefore aims to fill this research gap by providing an understanding of how geopolitical risk affects comparative advantage in low‐carbon energy trade across 27 countries worldwide. Taking the data period from 2000 to 2021, the study implements several panel regression models to account for endogeneity as well as cross‐country heterogeneity. The results reveal that geopolitical risk undermines a country's comparative advantage in international trade of low‐carbon energy products, regardless of the model specification. Domestically adopted low‐carbon energy innovation suggests a positive outcome for enhancing comparative advantage in this category, while low‐carbon energy policy has no significant impact. These results imply that governments and firms aiming to build durable comparative advantage in low‐carbon energy trade should complement innovation‐support policies with strategies that reduce exposure to geopolitical disruptions in green value chains.

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