Qualitative analysis of stakeholder risk perceptions in Kazakhstan's energy transformation
カザフスタンのエネルギー転換におけるステークホルダーのリスク認識の質的分析 (AI 翻訳)
N. Zhakiyev, A. Khamzina, A. Bakdolotov, Rocco De Miglio
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
カザフスタンの2060年カーボンニュートラル目標達成に向けて、エネルギー転換に伴う技術的・経済的・社会的リスクについて、政府、企業、金融機関、市民社会など多様なステークホルダーの認識をPolicy Delphi法で分析。実装-移行リスク（規制の不安定性、資金制約、送電網の隘路、化石燃料ロビー、スキル不足）が特に重要視された。結果はリスクマップとして改革の優先順位付けに活用可能。
English
This study uses a two-round Policy Delphi with stakeholders in Kazakhstan to analyze risk perceptions in the country's energy transition toward 2060 carbon neutrality. Implementation-transition risks, especially regulatory volatility, financing constraints, grid bottlenecks, fossil-fuel lobbying, and skills shortages, were rated as most important. The findings provide a practical risk map for prioritizing reforms in regulation, finance, grid development, and skills.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
カザフスタンは石炭・石油依存から脱却しつつあるが、日本のエネルギー転換（特に石炭火力、水素、CCUS）にも類似のステークホルダー調整課題がある。本論文の4象限リスクフレームワークは、日本国内のエネルギー政策におけるリスク認識の分析にも応用可能。
In the global GX context
For fossil-fuel-dependent economies worldwide, this study offers a stakeholder-based risk identification framework applicable to energy transition planning. It highlights that regulatory volatility and financing constraints are perceived as top risks, which aligns with global debates on transition finance and policy credibility.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a risk map and framework for analyzing stakeholder perceptions in energy transitions of fossil-fuel-dependent economies.
🏢実務担当者:Can use the identified risks (regulatory, financing, grid) to inform project planning and stakeholder engagement in similar contexts.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights regulatory stability and financing as key priorities; supports designing reforms based on stakeholder concerns.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Kazakhstan's pledge to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060 confronts a legacy of coal and oil dependence and the intertwined technical, economic, and social risks of a rapid energy transition. Because implementation will hinge on stakeholder cooperation, understanding how different actors perceive these risks is essential. We conducted a two-round Policy Delphi with stakeholders, including government officials, managers from national companies, financiers/investors, experts, and civil society representatives. Responses were organized using a four-quadrant risk framework that distinguishes implementation from consequential risks and transition risks from physical climate risks. All risks raised by participants could be located within this framework, indicating that it captures the main concerns in the Kazakhstani context. Implementation-transition risks dominated, led by regulatory volatility, financing constraints, grid bottlenecks, fossil-fuel lobbying, and skills shortages. These risks were consistently rated as highly important across stakeholder groups, although financiers and civil society actors were less concerned about policy instability than government officials and experts. By clarifying where stakeholders perceive the greatest implementation risks, the study provides a practical risk map to prioritize reforms in regulation, finance, grid development, and skills, and adds a stakeholder-based perspective to research and policy debates on energy transitions in fossil-fuel-dependent economies such as Kazakhstan.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.3389/frsus.2025.1706204first seen 2026-06-29 08:32:46
🔔 こうした論文の新着を逃したくない方は キーワードアラート に登録（無料・3キーワードまで）。
gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。