Fishery Sustainability and Climate Change Shocks in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries: Insights from a Panel VAR Model
湾岸協力理事会諸国における漁業持続可能性と気候変動ショック：パネルVARモデルからの洞察 (AI 翻訳)
R. Elzaki
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、湾岸協力理事会（GCC）諸国における気候変動ショックが漁業持続可能性に及ぼす影響を、パネルベクトル自己回帰（PVAR）モデルを用いて分析する。長期的な共和分関係が確認され、気温上昇が漁業生産に有意な負の影響を与えることが示された。降水量と漁業生産は高い変動性を示し、短期的ショックに敏感である。研究成果は、気候適応政策と持続可能な漁業管理の重要性を強調する。
English
This paper examines the dynamic impact of climate change shocks on fishery sustainability in GCC countries using a Panel VAR framework. It finds long-run cointegration and a significant negative effect of temperature on fishery production, while precipitation and output show high volatility. The study underscores the need for climate adaptation policies and sustainable fishing practices.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本は水産資源管理に課題を抱えており、気候変動が漁業に与える影響評価の手法として参考になる可能性がある。ただしGCC地域に特化しており、直接的な政策的含意は限定的。
In the global GX context
The study provides region-specific evidence on climate-fishery dynamics relevant for global fisheries management under climate change. The PVAR approach can be applied to other regions, but the GCC focus limits generalizability.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Demonstrates the application of PVAR to climate-fishery interactions, offering a methodology for similar studies.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights the need for adaptive management in fisheries facing climate variability, relevant for industry stakeholders.
🏛政策担当者:Provides evidence for climate adaptation policies in the fishery sector, particularly for GCC countries.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Fishery production in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region faces growing threats from overfishing, climate change, marine pollution, and habitat degradation, which reduce stock regeneration and ecosystem stability. Inadequate management systems and limited technological adoption further constrain productivity, posing risks to food security and economic stability. This study examines the dynamic impact of climate change shocks on fishery sustainability in GCC countries, using the Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) framework to examine both short- and long-run interactions between climate variables and fishery production. The study observed a long-run cointegration between total fisheries production and climate variables. Results reveal strong dynamic linkages, with temperature and carbon emissions exhibiting stable long-term trends and relatively low forecast errors. In contrast, precipitation and fishery output show higher volatility and greater sensitivity to short-term shocks. Temperature shocks have a significant negative effect on fishery production, highlighting the need for climate adaptation policies that protect marine ecosystems, enhance monitoring, and promote sustainable fishing practices. The findings highlight the importance of considering climate variability and adaptive strategies to ensure sustainable fisheries in the region. The novelty of this study is applying a dynamic PVAR approach to GCC fisheries, accounting for short-run and long-run climate impacts and providing region-specific policy-relevant insights that address sustainability under climate variability.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.3390/fishes11070380first seen 2026-06-29 08:52:12
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