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Socioeconomic Disparities in Climate Change‐Induced Compound Energy Droughts in China

気候変動による複合的エネルギー干ばつの社会経済的不平等:中国を事例に (AI 翻訳)

Licheng Wang, Yawen Liu, Xin Huang, Y Z Qin, T G Zhu

Earth s Future📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-05-01#再生可能エネルギーOrigin: CN
DOI: 10.1029/2025ef007598
原典: https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ef007598

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

中国のカーボンニュートラル目標達成には太陽光・風力への移行が不可欠だが、低日照・低風力(LSLW)の複合的なエネルギー不足が懸念される。本研究では、将来の気候シナリオ下でのLSLW事象の社会経済的曝露を分析し、南西中国の低所得地域が不均衡に脆弱であることを明らかにした。気候変動により格差が拡大する可能性があり、適応戦略の重要性を示す。

English

China's carbon neutrality goal requires a shift to solar and wind, but compound low-solar and low-wind (LSLW) energy droughts pose risks. This study analyzes socioeconomic exposure to LSLW extremes under future climate scenarios, finding that southwestern China, with low renewable resources and income, is disproportionately vulnerable. Climate change may exacerbate these disparities, highlighting the need for targeted adaptation strategies.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

中国の事例だが、日本でも再生可能エネルギーの導入拡大に伴い、気象変動による出力変動リスクが顕在化している。地域間格差や脆弱性評価の手法は、日本のエネルギー安全保障政策に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This study highlights how renewable energy reliability risks are compounded by socioeconomic inequalities, a critical issue for global energy transition equity. It provides a framework for assessing compound risks and vulnerabilities, relevant for countries like China and others pursuing ambitious renewable targets.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a methodology to assess compound energy droughts and socioeconomic exposure, relevant for climate risk and energy systems research.

🏢実務担当者:Offers insights for energy planners to identify vulnerable regions and prioritize adaptation investments.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for equitable transition strategies that address regional disparities in renewable resource availability.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Abstract China pledged to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060, necessitating a profound low‐carbon transition toward solar and wind power. While recent studies have evaluated the compound risks to energy reliability from concurrent low‐solar and low‐wind (LSLW) energy droughts, less attention has been paid to the socioeconomic exposure to such compound energy supply challenges, the spatial distribution of vulnerable hotspots, and how these dynamics may evolve under climate change. Here, we conduct a systematic analysis of the evolving socioeconomic exposure to compound LSLW extremes across China by coupling multi‐model simulations under future climate scenarios. Our results reveal that compound LSLW extremes are primarily concentrated in southwestern China—an area characterized by limited renewable energy resource and relatively low‐income levels with large population and gross domestic product (GDP) exposure—making them particularly vulnerable to frequent compound energy droughts. We identify distinct geospatial disparities in socioeconomic exposure, with a significantly greater increase in population exposure to LSLW event frequency under SSP370, primarily driven by climate change. Notably, changes in GDP exposure are even more pronounced than those in population exposure. Our analysis highlights that low‐income regions with relatively low renewable resources are disproportionately vulnerable to increasingly frequent and severe LSLW extremes, and that this inequity is likely to intensify under future climate conditions. These insights are critical for informing targeted climate mitigation and adaptation strategies to enhance energy security, particularly for the most vulnerable communities.

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