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Cost effect or innovation effect? how climate physical risk works on the pressure of agricultural carbon footprint?

コスト効果かイノベーション効果か?気候物理リスクが農業カーボンフットプリント圧力に与える影響 (AI 翻訳)

Sumin Hu, Daming Sun, Haoqiang Wu, Yi Zhuang

International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-06-25#炭素会計Origin: CN経営インパクト: 資金調達対象セクター: agriculture
DOI: 10.1080/14735903.2026.2685390
原典: https://doi.org/10.1080/14735903.2026.2685390

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

中国30省の2000-2023年パネルデータを用いて、気候物理リスク指数(CPRI)と農業カーボンフットプリント圧力(ACFP)の非線形関係を実証。逆U字型関係が確認され、閾値(CPRI=50.15)未満ではコスト効果によりACFPが増加、閾値超ではイノベーション効果により減少する。グリーンファイナンスとデジタルインクルーシブファイナンスが緩和・媒介効果を持つ。

English

Using balanced panel data from 30 Chinese provinces (2000-2023), this study empirically examines the nonlinear impact of the Climate Physical Risk Index (CPRI) on Agricultural Carbon Footprint Pressure (ACFP). It finds an inverted U-shaped relationship with a turning point at CPRI=50.15: below the threshold, cost effects increase ACFP; above, innovation effects reduce it. Green finance and digital inclusive finance play moderating and mediating roles.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

本論文は中国の実証分析であるが、日本の農業分野における気候変動適応とカーボンフットプリント削減の統合的アプローチに示唆を与える。特に、グリーンファイナンスとデジタル金融の活用は、日本の農業GX政策(みどりの食料システム戦略など)における政策手段の選択肢として参考になる。

In the global GX context

This paper provides novel empirical evidence on the nonlinear relationship between climate physical risk and agricultural carbon emissions, with implications for designing differentiated financial instruments and performance evaluation systems. The inverted U-shaped pattern and the roles of green and digital finance contribute to the global discourse on climate adaptation and mitigation synergies in agriculture.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Offers empirical evidence of an inverted U-shaped effect of climate physical risk on agricultural carbon footprint, with mechanism analysis of green finance and digital inclusive finance.

🏢実務担当者:Suggests how agricultural firms could leverage green and digital finance to mitigate carbon footprint pressure under varying climate risk levels.

🏛政策担当者:Proposes incorporating agricultural carbon footprint into local performance evaluation and deploying differentiated financial instruments for climate adaptation.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Climate physical risk exerts complex nonlinear effects on agricultural carbon footprint pressure (ACFP), yet the underlying cost and innovation mechanisms remain insufficiently examined. Using balanced panel data from 30 Chinese provinces over the period 2000–2023, this study empirically investigates the nonlinear impact of the Climate Physical Risk Index (CPRI) on ACFP. The findings reveal a statistically significant inverted U-shaped relationship, with a turning point at CPRI = 50.15307. Below this threshold, climate physical risk intensifies ACFP, reflecting a cost effect; above it, risk mitigates ACFP, indicating an innovation effect. Mechanism analysis shows that on the left side of the inflection point, green finance moderates the cost-induced increase in ACFP, whereas on the right side, digital inclusive finance reduces ACFP through a chain mediation pathway involving agricultural digital innovation. Moreover, the inverted U-shaped relationship is more pronounced in provinces northwest of the Hu Line and under high climate policy uncertainty. The study concludes by proposing targeted policy measures, including the deployment of differentiated financial instruments and the incorporation of ACFP into local performance evaluation systems, to promote a coordinated governance framework for pollution reduction, carbon mitigation, and climate adaptation in agriculture.

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