The opportunity-readiness paradox for timber-based climate solutions
木材を活用した気候変動対策における機会と準備態勢のパラドックス (AI 翻訳)
Li, Chaohui, Seydewitz, Tobias, Foong, Adrian, Jiang, Shan, Svintsov, Stepan, Tauqeer, Ramsha, Karpov, Alexandr, Kotz, Maximilian, Misselwitz, Philipp, Reck, Barbara K., Kropp, Juergen K., Holsten, Anne, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
この研究は、都市の木材建築による炭素貯蔵の可能性を評価するためのデータセットと分析コードを提供する。世界の都市の準備態勢指標を構築し、地域の木材供給と需要のマッチングを行う。結果は、機会と準備態勢の間にパラドックスが存在することを示唆している。
English
This study provides data and code to assess the potential of timber construction for carbon storage in cities worldwide. It constructs readiness indicators and performs supply-demand matching for local wood resources. The analysis reveals a paradox between opportunity and readiness for timber-based climate solutions.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本では、カーボンニュートラル目標達成のために木造建築の促進が政策課題となっているが、本論文の都市レベルの準備態勢分析は、日本の地方都市が木材供給と需要のバランスをどう評価するかの枠組みを提供する。ただし、日本の木造建築率は既に高いため、海外の参考事例として位置づけられる。
In the global GX context
This paper contributes globally by providing a replicable framework to assess the readiness of cities to adopt timber construction for climate mitigation. It highlights the paradox that cities with the highest opportunity for carbon storage often lack the necessary infrastructure and policy support. This is relevant for ISSB and transition finance discussions on nature-based solutions.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a comprehensive dataset and methodology for assessing timber readiness at the city level.
🏢実務担当者:The readiness indicators can help construction firms and city planners identify gaps in supply chain and policy for timber construction.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for policy packages that align building codes, supply infrastructure, and carbon targets to unlock timber's climate potential.
📄 Abstract(原文)
This repository contains data and code to reproduce the publication "The opportunity-readiness paradox for timber-based climate solutions" . In this repository, you may find the following files: building-codes.xlsx - Building code data per country collected in this study. cities.tar.xz - Outlines of the cities used in this study. The archive contains an ESRI Shapefile. We produced this dataset using administrative boundaries (polygons of administrative units at various levels) from GADM . Coordinates of city locations were obtained from Natural Earth in point format at 1:10m scale. code.tar.xz - R and MATLAB code to reproduce clustering analysis and plotting of Figures 2, 3, and 4. composite_indicators.m - Constructs the seven composite readiness indicators for each city and generates individual world map figures for each dimension. clustering.m - Performs K-means clustering using the MDA initialization method (Camus et al., 2011). readiness.m - Merges cluster assignments with scenario-based carbon storage estimates and produces the opportunity vs. readiness comparison figures supply_demand.R - Computes wood material intensities and carbon substitution factors. Combines LCA-derived intensities (regional), RASMI material ranges (Fishman et al.), and substitution factors from the literature (Leskinen et al. 2018; Hassegawa et al. 2022). k-NN.xlsx - Per-city input and output data of the clustering analysis. Gridded population projections for 2020-2050 under SSP2 (column: pop_growth) are from Wang et al. (2022) . Building stock typology data (column: low_rise) were obtained from the Global Human Settlement Layer , including building surface area, heights, and non-residential zones. City-level carbon goals (column: city_pledge) were obtained from the CDP Cities Disclosure platform CDP Cities Disclosure platform and cross-validated with the Net Zero Tracker and Hughes et al. (2018) Hughes et al. (2018) . Country-level net-zero commitments and climate accountability legislation (column: country_pledge) were compiled from Nick Zrinyi . Forestry and wood production statistics (columns: country_supply, saw_wood) were obtained from FAOSTAT and the UNECE Forestry Statistics Database . Additional national statistics were sourced from government portals (e.g., Government of China) and the European Forest Institute . Employment data for the forestry sector (column: employment) are available from the ILO ILOSTAT platform . Sawmill infrastructure data (column: sawmill) were compiled from the Fordaq International Directory . Source data for timber building code scores (columns: timber_code, height_code, fire_code, and support_code) is in the file building-codes.xlsx . Data on UNESCO heritage sites with timber construction (column: heritage) is in the file UNESCO.xlsx . The share of the population living in timber-frame buildings (column: timber_frame) is from the PAGER database. Local timber supply (column: local_supply) was calculated within 200km around a city from roundwood-raster.tar.xz . roundwood-raster.tar.xz - Spatially explicit roundwood production with a resolution of approximately 1 km per pixel. Each pixel represents the average total roundwood production (2011-2020) in m³/yr. The code to perform the local supply-demand match can be found here. The code we used to disaggregate national and regional roundwood production to the pixel level is available here. The data used to parameterize the disaggregation models are available in the roundwood-data.tar.xz archive. roundwood-data.tar.xz - Subnational roundwood production and forest area data collected for this study and used to produce the spatially explicit roundwood production map. timber/<country_name>.xlsx - Regional roundwood production and forest area data. timber/0_sources.xlsx - Sources of the subregional roundwood production data. train/*/ * .csv - Data used for parametrizing the models. survey.csv - Results of the survey to assess the importance of the indicators to assess global timber readiness. scenarios.tar.xz - Results of the supply-demand match. scenarios.xlsx - Overview of the supply-demand match configuration. Lists the timber usage rate, timber construction rate, average floor area per capita and city, and share of single-family housing. i-f*.csv - Material intensities from the Regional Assessment of buildings' Material Intensities (RASMI) database . i-rbg.csv - Material intensities from Schneider et al. (2025). */ .geojson - Results of the supply-demand match. Directories named according to the assumed maximum transport distance. Each GeoJSON feature represents the area required around a city to meet annual construction demand. File naming convention is detailed in the scenarios.xlsx file. The attribute table lists the annual construction demand per housing and construction type, annual population growth, and timber supply. UNESCO.xlsx - UNESCO heritage sites with timber construction. On the Timber Atlas dashboard, you can discover how much surrounding forest would be needed to meet your city’s annual timber demand for new residential construction. This tool is designed to spark interest and provide an overview of the theoretical potential of regional wood resources for future building needs.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- Zenodo https://zenodo.org/records/21157576first seen 2026-07-04 04:19:42 · last seen 2026-07-05 04:14:26
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