THE CAPACITY MULTIPLIER EFFECT IN ASEAN'S ENERGY TRANSITION: HYDROPOWER, SOLAR, AND BIOENERGY DYNAMICS
ASEANのエネルギー移行におけるキャパシティ・マルチプライヤー効果：水力、太陽光、バイオエネルギーの動態 (AI 翻訳)
Try Edi Suwarno, Audina Rahmi, Ananda Sabrida Tora Boru Sinaga, M Bastian, Shahnaz Arianne Amirah
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、インドネシア、マレーシア、フィリピン、タイの4カ国における水力、太陽光、バイオエネルギーが再生可能エネルギー総容量に与える影響を、パネルデータを用いて分析。バイオエネルギーが最も高い容量倍率（1.51）を示し、グリッド柔軟性に貢献することを明らかにした。
English
This study examines the capacity multipliers of hydropower, solar, and bioenergy on total renewable capacity in four ASEAN countries (2015-2024) using a Fixed Effects Model. Bioenergy exhibits the highest multiplier (1.51), highlighting its role in grid flexibility and renewable integration.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
ASEAN諸国が対象だが、日本の再生可能エネルギー導入における技術間の相乗効果（ベースロード、変動性、ディスパッチ可能電源）を考える上で示唆に富む。日本のエネルギー構成最適化にも応用可能な分析手法を提供している。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence on how different renewable technologies interact in expanding total capacity in developing economies. It underscores the importance of dispatchable bioenergy for grid stability—a relevant insight for global energy transition strategies, especially in emerging markets.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:The Fixed Effects Model addressing mechanical accounting identity offers a methodological contribution for studying energy mix diversification.
🏢実務担当者:Renewable energy investors and utilities can use the capacity multiplier insights to prioritize technologies that enhance grid flexibility and overall capacity growth.
🏛政策担当者:The findings support policy design that values dispatchable renewables (e.g., bioenergy) alongside intermittent sources to achieve net-zero targets efficiently.
📄 Abstract（原文）
<p>This study examines the structural associations and comparative capacity multipliers of specific renewable technologies hydropower, solar energy, and bioenergy on the total installed renewable energy capacity in four key ASEAN countries: Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand, over the 2015–2024 period. Addressing empirical gaps in the literature on energy mix diversification, this research employs a Fixed Effects Model (FEM) using panel data from the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) to control for unobserved country-specific heterogeneity. To overcome the mechanical accounting identity inherent in regressing an aggregate against its components, this study interprets the estimated coefficients as infrastructural spillover effects rather than strict causal generation outputs. The findings indicate that while all three technologies are positively associated with aggregate capacity expansion, their relative structural impacts differ significantly. Bioenergy exhibits the highest capacity multiplier (1.51), highlighting its critical role in providing dispatchable grid flexibility that accommodates further renewable integration. Hydropower (1.18) serves as a stabilizing baseload anchor, while solar energy (1.05) acts as a highly elastic, near-proportional additive component. Academically, this study refines the econometric understanding of renewable energy expansion in developing economies by quantifying these specific technological synergies. Practically, the findings offer suggestive policy guidance for optimizing capacity investments and grid diversification to support a resilient energy transition toward the region's Net-Zero Emissions targets.</p>
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.20961/jaedc.v11i1.110515first seen 2026-05-21 04:29:44
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