Political stability and the health effects of climate change in MENA countries
MENA諸国における政治的安定と気候変動の健康影響 (AI 翻訳)
Zouhaier Aloui, Mekki Hamdaoui, Wafa Sahraoui, Samir Maktouf
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
この研究は、MENA地域（1996-2023年）における政治的安定と気候変動が健康アウトカム（乳児死亡率）に与える影響を分析。同時方程式GMMとCS-ARDLモデルを用いて内生性と長短期の動学を考慮。気候変動は乳児死亡率を有意に上昇させ、政治的安定は低下させるが、相互作用項は正で、政治的安定だけでは気候変動の悪影響を完全に相殺できないことを示す。効果的な環境政策と医療システムへの投資が必要。
English
This study examines how political stability and climate change interact to affect infant mortality in MENA countries (1996-2023) using GMM and CS-ARDL methods. Climate change significantly increases infant mortality, while political stability reduces it. However, their interaction term is positive, indicating that political stability alone cannot fully offset climate change's adverse health effects. Effective climate policies and resilient healthcare investments are needed.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
MENA地域に焦点を当てた研究であり、日本のGX文脈とは直接関係ないが、気候変動の健康影響とガバナンスの関係は、日本の気候適応政策や国際協力の観点で参照できる。特にSDGs目標3・13との関連で、日本が支援する開発途上国での政策立案に示唆を与える可能性がある。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence on how political stability moderates climate change health impacts in the MENA region. While not directly addressing corporate decarbonization, it contributes to broader climate adaptation literature relevant to global climate policy frameworks like the Paris Agreement and SDGs. It underscores the need for governance and climate-health nexus in policy design.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Empirical evidence on climate-health governance interaction in MENA, useful for researchers in climate adaptation and sustainable development.
🏛政策担当者:Regulators should note that political stability alone is insufficient; climate and health policies must be integrated for effective adaptation.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Abstract This study examines the interaction between political stability and climate change and their impact on health outcomes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region over the period 1996–2023. Health is proxied by infant mortality, allowing for a more precise assessment of population vulnerability. The analysis employs a simultaneous equations framework estimated using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to account for endogeneity and reverse causality, complemented by a Cross-Sectionally Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag (CS-ARDL) model to distinguish between short-run and long-run dynamics while controlling for cross-sectional dependence. The empirical results reveal that climate change significantly increases infant mortality, confirming its detrimental effect on health outcomes in MENA countries. Political stability, on the other hand, reduces infant mortality, indicating its crucial role in improving public health conditions. However, the interaction term between political stability and climate change is positive and statistically significant, suggesting that while political stability improves health, it does not fully offset the adverse effects of climate change. Instead, the net impact depends on the effectiveness of environmental and health policies implemented within stable governance frameworks. The findings highlight the importance of considering the joint role of governance and environmental factors in shaping health outcomes. From a policy perspective, strengthening political stability alone is not sufficient; it must be accompanied by effective climate policies and investments in resilient healthcare systems. This study contributes to the literature on sustainable development by providing empirical evidence relevant to the achievement of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, particularly SDG 3 (Good Health and Well-being) and SDG 13 (Climate Action).
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1186/s12982-026-02144-1first seen 2026-07-13 04:53:11
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