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EU ETS, Industrial Capacity and Trade Competitiveness

Jammeh, Bakary

Zenodoデータセット2026-07-08#炭素価格Origin: EU経営インパクト: 資金調達対象セクター: manufacturing
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21257153
原典: https://zenodo.org/records/21257153

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、EU排出量取引制度(EU ETS)下での排出量削減が、真の脱炭素化によるものか、産業規模の縮小によるものかを検証。EU27の製造業(2013~2024年)のデータ分析により、稼働設備数は14.6%減少し、炭素負担が増加したことを示し、排出削減の一部は生産縮小に起因することを明らかにした。

English

This study examines whether the emissions decline under the EU ETS reflects genuine decarbonization or industrial contraction. It finds that active installations fell by 14.6% and net carbon burden grew in exposed sectors, indicating part of the reduction is from narrowing industrial base. The dataset includes firm-level and trade data for EU-27 manufacturing 2013-2024.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本はGX-ETSの設計段階にあり、本論文は炭素価格の産業縮小リスクを示すEUの事例として重要。特にセクターカバレッジや無償割り当ての設計に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

The EU ETS is the world's largest carbon market; this paper provides critical evidence on the real economic effects of carbon pricing, informing global policy design for emissions trading systems, including border adjustments and free allocation.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on the distinction between genuine decarbonization and industrial contraction under carbon pricing.

🏢実務担当者:Highlights the importance of monitoring installation counts and carbon cost exposure for corporate strategy under emissions trading.

🏛政策担当者:Crucial insights for designing carbon pricing policies that avoid unintended industrial shrinkage, emphasizing the need for free allocation or border adjustments.

📄 Abstract(原文)

This dataset accompanies the study "Carbon Markets Beyond Emissions Reduction: Industrial Capacity, Carbon Price Exposure and Competitiveness — Insights from the EU ETS Functioning and Directions for Mechanism Improvement Report," which asks whether the emissions decline observed under the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) reflects genuine decarbonisation of production or a contraction of industrial capacity. Because these two explanations carry very different implications for climate and industrial policy, the study reads three complementary margins of adjustment together for EU-27 manufacturing over 2013–2024: the evolution of the active-installation base, firms' net carbon price exposure relative to operating profitability (EBITDA), and the relationship between that exposure and international trade competitiveness. The evidence shows that the number of active installations fell by 14.6% over the period, while the net carbon burden became economically material in the most exposed sectors, indicating that part of the measured emissions reduction reflects a narrowing industrial base rather than cleaner production alone. The file contains the three datasets used in the paper's three analyses, stacked one after another and each preceded by its own header: Dataset 1, an aggregate annual series on the installation perimeter (production, active installations and verified emissions); Dataset 2, a matched firm-level panel of 11,656 firm-year observations for 1,356 manufacturing firms linking emissions, free allocation and EBITDA; and Dataset 3, a product-level trade panel relating carbon exposure to import and export unit values. Together, these files allow the full analysis to be reproduced from the raw data. All descriptions and units of measurement of the variables used in the analysis are listed at the end of the same data file.

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