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Pathways to a Green Transition in Kerala: Economic and Employment Impacts from a State-Level Integrated Assessment

ケララにおけるグリーン転換への道筋:州レベル統合評価による経済と雇用への影響 (AI 翻訳)

Sanjib Pohit, Chetana Chaudhuri, Anindya Bhattacharya, Somya Mathur, P L Beena, Devender Pratap, Mohit Kumar Meena, Hrushikesh Mallik, Ritika Jain, Malavika Thampi

Green and Low-Carbon Economy📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-06-18#エネルギー転換対象セクター: cross_sector
DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce62026965
原典: https://doi.org/10.47852/bonviewglce62026965
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、インド・ケララ州を対象に、州レベル統合評価モデル(IAM)を開発し、グリーン転換の経済・雇用影響を分析した。再生可能エネルギー投資とエネルギー効率改善を組み合わせた政策シナリオが、州内総生産、消費、雇用を向上させ、化石燃料輸入を削減することを示した。電力輸入に依存するケララ州にとって、再生可能エネルギーの拡大がエネルギー安全保障にも寄与する。

English

This study develops a state-level Integrated Assessment Model for Kerala, India, linking a recursive dynamic CGE model with a bottom-up energy model. It analyzes policy scenarios: reducing fossil imports without renewables expansion (constrains growth) versus investing in local renewables with revenue recycling and energy efficiency improvements (enhances economic returns and employment). The findings highlight the importance of renewable energy investment for a green transition in resource-constrained regions.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

本論文は地域特性を考慮したエネルギー政策の経済・雇用影響評価のフレームワークを提供しており、日本の都道府県レベルのグリーン転換政策にも応用可能性がある。特に、エネルギー輸入依存地域が再生可能エネルギー投資を通じて経済成長と雇用創出を同時に達成する道筋を示す点で示唆に富む。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a novel state-level integrated assessment framework for India, demonstrating how subnational economies can pursue green transitions while improving economic outcomes. It contributes to the literature on regional energy-economy modeling and offers insights for other emerging economies or regions facing similar energy import dependencies.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:This paper develops a state-level IAM for India, filling a gap in regional energy-economy modeling. Researchers can use the framework to assess green transition impacts in other countries or states.

🏢実務担当者:For corporate sustainability teams, the paper underscores the value of investing in local renewable capacity and energy efficiency as part of a green transition strategy that can also support economic growth and employment.

🏛政策担当者:State policymakers can leverage the modeling framework to design green transition policies that balance economic growth, employment, and energy security, particularly for regions reliant on electricity imports.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Regional modeling is essential for assessing the impacts of environmental policies in countries with significant regional diversity. It is particularly important for a resource-constrained state like Kerala (India), which depends heavily on electricity imports from other states. The novelty of this study lies in the development of a state-level Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) that links a recursive multi-regional dynamic computable general equilibrium model with a bottom-up energy model, considering region-specific parameters. To the best of our knowledge, such a state-level regional modeling framework for India has not been developed in the existing literature, thereby addressing an important research gap in assessing region-specific pathways and policy impacts. This paper explores the economic and employment implications of the green transition for Kerala. The contributions to the literature are (a) regional modeling; (b) a framework and assessment of the impact of green transition considering the interlinkage between the state, the rest of India, and the rest of the world; and (c) estimation of required investment and effect on employment generation. The findings suggest that reducing fossil electricity imports without expanding renewable energy infrastructure may constrain economic growth (Policy Scenario 1). In contrast, investments in local renewable energy capacity through revenue recycling, along with improvements in energy efficiency and productivity (Policy Scenario 2), can enhance economic returns and generate more employment. There is an increase in real state domestic product, consumption, investment, returns to factors, and employment in Policy Scenario 2 as compared to the baseline and Policy Scenario 1. Both final energy requirement for fossil fuel and emissions are also lower in Policy Scenario 2. Energy efficiency can be enhanced through investments in efficient technologies, smart grids, low-emission transport systems, and modern energy infrastructure. Productivity improvements require skill development, innovation-oriented policies, and support for entrepreneurship. Green transition also presents an opportunity for Kerala to strengthen energy security through the expansion of renewables. Received: 28 July 2025 | Revised: 11 May 2026 | Accepted: 22 May 2026 Conflicts of Interest The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest to this work. Data Availability Statement Data are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request. Author Contribution Statement Sanjib Pohit: Conceptualization, Writing - original draft, Writing - review &editing, Supervision, Project administration. Chetana Chaudhuri: Conceptualization, Validation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Resources, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing. Anindya Bhattacharya: Conceptualization, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing, Supervision, Project administration. Somya Mathur: Methodology, Software, Visualization. P L Beena: Conceptualization, Supervision. Devender Pratap: Methodology, Software, Data curation. Mohit Kumar Meena: Methodology, Software, Visualization. Hrushikesh Mallik: Resources. Ritika Jain: Resources. Malavika Thampi: Data curation.

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