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Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Carbon Balance Considering Multi‐Dimensional Urbanization Across 366 Cities in China

中国366都市における多次元都市化を考慮したカーボンバランスの時空間動態 (AI 翻訳)

Min Huang, Daohong Gong, Yuliang Deng, Yong Ge, Hui Lin, Daoye Zhu, Changjiang Xiao, Tengping Jiang, Orhan Altan

Earth s Future📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-06-30#炭素会計Origin: CN
DOI: 10.1029/2025ef007265
原典: https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ef007265

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、経済・人口・空間の3次元の都市化を組み込んだ修正カーボンバランス(MCB)枠組みを構築し、中国366都市のカーボンバランスを分析。20年間で人為的排出と生態系吸収のギャップが拡大し、排出量の年平均増加率15.4%に対し吸収量は1%にとどまった。カーボンクォータ配分に補償的規制を導入すると、MCBを満たす都市が207から231に増加することを示した。

English

This study constructs a multi-dimensional modified carbon balance (MCB) framework incorporating economic, population, and spatial urbanization, analyzing 366 Chinese cities over 20 years. Results show a widening gap between anthropogenic emissions (15.4% annual growth) and ecological sequestration (1% growth). Introducing compensatory carbon quota allocation increases the number of cities meeting MCB from 207 to 231, providing a fairer assessment of low-carbon development.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

本論文のMCBフレームワークは、日本の自治体のカーボンニュートラル計画における公平な排出枠配分手法として応用可能。特に、都市化の要因を考慮した点が、日本の都市政策に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

The study offers a replicable methodology for urban carbon balance assessment incorporating urbanization dimensions, relevant to global carbon neutrality efforts. The carbon quota mechanism with compensatory regulation provides insights for equitable allocation in urban climate policy.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Carbon accounting researchers can adopt the multi-dimensional urbanization framework to improve urban carbon balance models.

🏢実務担当者:Urban planners and climate officers can use the compensatory quota approach for equitable low-carbon city planning.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers can consider the findings for designing carbon quota allocation systems that account for urban development needs.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Abstract Low‐carbon sustainable development has become essential for China to achieve its carbon neutrality goals. However, most existing carbon balance (CB) studies overlook carbon quota allocation that reflects development needs during urbanization, leading to assessments of urban low‐carbon development that may lack scientific rigour and fairness. This study integrates the three dimensions of economic urbanization, population urbanization, and spatial urbanization to construct a multi‐dimensional urban modified carbon balance (MCB) assessment framework and systematically calculates the CB and MCB of 366 cities in China. The results show that over the past 20 years, the gap between anthropogenic carbon emissions and ecological sequestration has continued to widen. Urban areas, accounting for the majority of emissions, exhibited an average annual emission growth rate of 15.4%, which contrasts sharply with the mere 1% average annual expansion observed in natural carbon sequestration capacity. The number of cities achieving CB decreased from 146 to 64. In addition, urban carbon quota demand was significantly correlated with multi‐dimensional urbanization levels. Under a carbon quota allocation mechanism that incorporates compensatory regulation, the number of cities meeting the MCB standard will increase significantly from 207 to 231. This study provides a fairer reference for assessing low‐carbon development in cities.

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