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Prioritizing Policy Options in the Energy Transition Considering Production Sophistication

優先すべきエネルギー転換政策オプション:生産の高度化を考慮して (AI 翻訳)

Victor-Gallardo L, Quirós-Tortós J

Research Squareプレプリント2026-07-07#政策対象セクター: cross_sector
DOI: 10.20944/preprints202607.0459.v1
原典: https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202607.0459.v1

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、生産の高度化(経済複雑性)を考慮し、エネルギー転換の政策オプションを優先順位付けする手法を提案する。コスタリカの運輸・電力・産業部門に適用した結果、道路貨物・自家用旅客輸送の電化と旅客モードシフト・鉄道が全排出削減量の69%を達成し、GDPの2.2%の経済便益をもたらすと示された。各オプションの排出削減、経済便益、コスト、経済複雑性向上企業のコスト削減を評価する。

English

This paper proposes a methodology to prioritize energy transition policy options considering production sophistication (economic complexity). Applied to Costa Rica's transport, electricity, and industry sectors, electrifying road freight and passenger transport along with modal shift achieve 69% of total avoidable emissions. They also generate 2.2% GDP in economic benefits and reduce costs for firms that increase economic complexity by 0.19% GDP. The methodology measures each option by emission reductions, economic benefits, cost, and firm cost reduction.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本のエネルギー転換政策の議論にも応用可能な手法を提示。コスタリカの事例ではあるが、政策オプション間のトレードオフを排出削減量・経済効果・コストで定量評価する枠組みは、日本のエネルギー基本計画やGX政策の優先順位付けに示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This work contributes to the global literature on policy prioritization for energy transitions. The systematic comparison of options across sectors using economic complexity metrics offers a replicable framework for governments designing net-zero strategies, especially for integrating industrial policy with decarbonization.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a methodology for comparing decarbonization options with economic and cost metrics applicable to other countries.

🏢実務担当者:Policymakers can use the framework to assess trade-offs in energy transition policies.

🏛政策担当者:Offers a systematic approach for prioritizing mitigation options with cost-benefit analysis.

📄 Abstract(原文)

The energy transition towards low emissions is crucial to mitigating climate change. Governments need to enforce policy packages to advance climate goals with speed. This paper presents a methodology for prioritizing policy options that transform energy systems into highly renewable in a long-term planning horizon, considering the interaction of decarbonization and production sophistication (or economic complexity). Governments, businesses, and citizens are aware of the importance of energy transformations. However, understanding the effects and trade-offs of each policy option is yet open to much public debate at municipal, regional, national, or supranational levels. Our methodology offers a practical approach to inform such discussion. We measure each option with four metrics: emission reductions, economic benefits, cost, and the cost reduction of firms that increase the economy's complexity. We apply it by systematically comparing climate mitigation options in transport, electricity, and industry subsectors of the Costa Rican energy system. We find that electrifying road freight and private passenger transport and implementing passenger mode shift and rail achieve 69% of total potential avoided emissions. They also cause 2.2% of GDP in economic benefits (yearly 2021-50 average) and reduce firms' costs that increase the economy's complexity by 0.19% of GDP (yearly 2021-50 average).

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