The traditionalist challenge to the European Green Deal
Igor Piliaiev
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
この論文は、欧州グリーンディール(EGD)に対する伝統主義的(欧州トランプ主義)な挑戦を分析し、2020年代後半におけるその影響力増大がEGDの実施に深刻なリスクをもたらすと論じる。特にドイツを事例とし、ウクライナへの示唆も含む。
English
This paper analyzes the traditionalist (Euro-Trumpist) challenge to the European Green Deal (EGD), arguing that the rising influence of such parties in the 2020s poses significant risks to the EGD's implementation, with a focus on Germany and implications for Ukraine's EU integration.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
欧州の気候政策後退リスクを実証的に示し、日本のGX政策やSSBJ/有報開示にも間接的な影響があり得ることを示唆。政治リスクを考慮した政策設計の重要性を提醒する。
In the global GX context
This study signals political vulnerability of the European Green Deal, relevant for global observers tracking regulatory stability for carbon pricing and climate finance mechanisms like CBAM.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a political economy lens on the EGD's fragility, useful for policy risk analysis.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need to anticipate and mitigate political backlash against climate policies to ensure long-term credibility.
📄 Abstract(原文)
The article investigates the systematic impact of Euro-Trumpism, as a new phenomenon of European politics, on the European Green Deal (EGD), in the context of the US repeated withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement and the strong growth of influence in Europe of parties and movements oriented towards the image of a new model of national reconstruction and world order promoted by US President D. Trump. For the purposes of the study, the author uses interdisciplinary and comparative approaches, methods of political economy, the neo-cleavage theory, case study (focusing on Germany as a key European-integration country and economy), and empirical-analytical and reflexive approaches. It is substantiated that the traditionalist challenge to the EGD is directed, first of all, against the globalist dimension and content of European climate policy, and not against traditional regional or local environmental protection. It is shown that the significant strengthening of the Euro-Trumpist parties’ positions in the European Parliament and national parliaments of the EU member states in the 2020s (especially since the beginning of 2025), particularly the opportunities to influence decision-making processes in the field of climate policy through coalition agreements and increased interaction with traditional center-right parties at all levels, increases the intra-structural risks for the implementation of the EGD and poses a real threat of breaking the climate consensus at the EU level and even phasing out the EGD in the medium term. Since the relevant economic development plans and roadmaps for Ukraine's integration into the EU are related to the EGD goals, there is a need for a more systematic and critical consideration of the prospects for a gradual increase in the CO2 emissions and fossil fuel taxation in Ukraine as well as the introduction of the Carbon Adjustment Mechanism, taking into account the high and further growing risks for the implementation of the EGD.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2026.01.072first seen 2026-06-29 09:11:31
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