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Coherence Between Climate and Land Use Polices of the European Union, Brazil, and Indonesia: A Primer to Analyze Potential <scp>GHG</scp> Leakage

EU、ブラジル、インドネシアの気候政策と土地利用政策の整合性:GHGリーケージ分析のための基礎資料 (AI 翻訳)

Heiner von Lüpke, Claudia Azevedo‐Ramos, Dwi Laraswati, Ahmad Maryudi, Christina Ayu, Nilo Wijaya, Rio Sopaheluwakan, Daniel Kübler, Richard Fischer

Environmental Policy and Governance📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-05-05#政策Origin: Global
DOI: 10.1002/eet.70084
原典: https://doi.org/10.1002/eet.70084

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、EU、ブラジル、インドネシアの土地利用・気候政策の整合性を評価し、生産の国際的移転によるGHG排出リーケージの可能性を分析。EUが保全重視、ブラジルもやや保全重視、インドネシアは生産と保全のバランスが取れていることを示し、政策優先度の違いがリーケージを誘発しうると結論。

English

This paper analyzes policy coherence in land use and climate domains across the EU, Brazil, and Indonesia, revealing diverging priorities that may lead to GHG leakage through production displacement. The EU prioritizes conservation, Brazil leans conservation, and Indonesia balances production and conservation. The authors recommend integrating leakage assessments into policy design.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本のGX政策においても、農林業分野での炭素リーケージ対策は重要。特にパリ協定の実施やJCM制度との関連で、本分析の枠組みは示唆に富む。

In the global GX context

This study provides a crucial framework for understanding how incoherent land use policies across major trading partners can undermine global climate mitigation. It directly informs ISSB and TCFD discussions on Scope 3 emissions and transition risks embedded in supply chains.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Highlights the need for cross-jurisdictional policy coherence analysis and leakage quantification methods.

🏢実務担当者:Offers a framework for assessing supply chain carbon leakage risks, useful for corporate Scope 3 reporting.

🏛政策担当者:Provides evidence that policy misalignment can undermine climate goals, suggesting integration of leakage impacts into national and regional climate strategies.

📄 Abstract(原文)

ABSTRACT Incoherence between national land use policies may weaken climate mitigation efforts by creating conditions under which agricultural and forestry production and GHG emissions are displaced across borders (leakage). Coherence depends on constellations and prioritization of national policy aims in land use (production) and climate (conservation). We assess policy coherence in the land use sectors of major agriculture and forestry trading partners—EU, Brazil, and Indonesia and discuss whether this can possibly cause international production displacement and GHG emission leakage. We selected top‐level national policies in the land use and climate policy domains of the three jurisdictions, coded and rated policy aims, and compared relationships of production and conservation aims. Results show that EU prioritizes conservation over production; Brazil also emphasizes conservation, though to a lesser extent; Indonesia has a balanced ratio between production and conservation goals. We conclude that differing policy priorities may indeed encourage shifts in production from the EU to countries like Brazil and Indonesia, potentially leading to GHG emission leakage and raising concerns about the ecological integrity of the EU Green Deal. We recommend integrating leakage impact assessments into policy design and identifying ways to better align production and conservation goals domestically in countries to prevent displacement and leakage.

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