Energy Security and Climate Change in Tanzania: The Influence of Per Capita Income Using ARDL and Canonical Co-Integrating Regression
タンザニアにおけるエネルギー安全保障と気候変動：ARDLとカノニカル共和分回帰を用いた一人当たり所得の影響 (AI 翻訳)
Seleman Abas Seleman -, Moga Tano Jilenga
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、タンザニアの気候変動に対するエネルギー安全保障と排出の影響をARDLとCCRで分析。長期的にはCO2排出とエネルギー消費が主要因であり、短期的には所得増加が負の影響を与え環境クズネッツ曲線を確認。所得の相互作用項は気候回復力を高めるが初期段階で排出を悪化させる。政策提言としてクリーンエネルギー補助金、インフラ整備、炭素価格メカニズムを提案。
English
This study analyzes the impact of energy security and emissions on climate change in Tanzania using ARDL and CCR. Long-run results show carbon emissions and energy consumption as major contributors; short-run income has a negative effect confirming the EKC. Income interactions enhance resilience but exacerbate emissions initially. Policy recommendations include clean energy subsidies, infrastructure, and carbon pricing.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
本稿はタンザニアを対象としており、直接日本に関連しないが、炭素価格メカニズム導入の提言は日本のカーボンプライシング議論に参考になる可能性がある。
In the global GX context
This study adds empirical evidence from a developing African country on the EKC hypothesis and the role of income in the energy-climate nexus, contributing to global climate policy discourse in the Global South.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on EKC and the role of income in energy security and climate change in Tanzania.
🏢実務担当者:Offers insights for designing clean energy subsidies and carbon pricing mechanisms in developing countries.
🏛政策担当者:Recommends targeted clean energy subsidies and carbon pricing to balance energy security and climate goals.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Over the past decade, rapid population growth and industrialisation have been the primary drivers of increased greenhouse gas emissions in Tanzania. Despite the efforts to deploy modern renewable energy technologies, energy demand continues to outpace supply, intensifying climate change. This study's objective is two-fold: first, to investigate the impact of energy security and emissions on climate change in Tanzania. Second, to examine the role of household per capita income as a transmission mechanism through which energy security and carbon emissions impact climate change in Tanzania. And third, to assess the relevance of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis in the country. The study employed time series data from 1988-2023 and used ARDL and canonical co-integrating regression, and the results revealed that, in the long run, carbon emissions and energy consumption were statistically significant major contributors to climate change in Tanzania. The short-term results revealed that an increase in income has a significant negative impact on climate change, confirming the relevance of the EKC in Tanzania. The transmission pathways revealed that income interaction terms with energy security enhance climate resilience but exacerbate emissions in the initial stage of income growth. The study recommended that policymakers implement targeted subsidies for clean energy, enhance energy infrastructures and introduce a carbon pricing mechanism to encourage a transition towards sustainable energy and energy use in Tanzania.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.37284/ajccrs.5.1.4912first seen 2026-05-21 04:30:02
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