From Barriers to Enablers: A Multi-Evidence Strategic Framework for Green Hydrogen Adoption in Conflict-Affected Developing Economies: The Case of Palestine
障壁から実現要因へ：紛争影響下の途上国におけるグリーン水素導入のためのマルチエビデンス戦略フレームワーク — パレスチナの事例 (AI 翻訳)
Abdelnaser Dwaikat, S. Abu-Eisheh, Ammar Alkhalidi
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、紛争の影響を受ける発展途上国におけるグリーン水素導入のための戦略フレームワークを提示する。パレスチナを事例に、AHP、PLS-SEM、TOPSIS、SDG指標を統合した多角的分析を実施。専門家認識と構造分析の乖離、小規模コミュニティ生産の有効性、政策品質の乗数効果を明らかにした。
English
This study develops and validates a strategic framework for green hydrogen adoption in conflict-affected developing economies, using Palestine as a case. Integrating AHP, PLS-SEM, TOPSIS, and an SDG Contribution Index, it finds that technical barriers are overestimated by experts, social barriers have stronger structural effects, small-scale community production is the most robust pathway, and policy quality acts as a governance multiplier increasing sustainability returns by 20.2%.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本は水素サプライチェーン構築を進める一方、紛争地域への展開は限定的。本論文は脆弱な制度環境下でのグリーン水素導入フレームワークを提示し、日本のODAや国際協力に示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
This paper provides a validated framework for green hydrogen adoption in fragile states, addressing a gap in hydrogen research. The findings on governance multipliers and small-scale production pathways are relevant for global hydrogen policy in developing regions, especially in the context of the ISSB and transition finance.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:The multi-method framework integrating AHP, PLS-SEM, TOPSIS, and SDG index offers a rigorous approach for hydrogen adoption studies in challenging contexts.
🏢実務担当者:The 2026-2040 roadmap and seven strategic goals provide actionable guidance for project developers and NGOs working in fragile economies.
🏛政策担当者:The finding that policy quality acts as a governance multiplier (20.2% increase in sustainability returns) highlights the importance of institutional strengthening alongside hydrogen investment.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Green hydrogen—hydrogen produced from renewable electricity—is central to global decarbonization strategies. However, despite their fragile governance, damaged infrastructure, water scarcity, and limited investment security, conflict-affected developing economies remain largely absent from hydrogen research. This study addresses that gap by developing and validating a multi-evidence strategic framework for green-hydrogen (GH2) adoption in fragile institutional environments, using Palestine as a challenging test case. Methodologically speaking, the framework integrates four evidence streams—barrier prioritization by 45 Palestinian experts using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP); structural modeling of barrier–adoption–sustainability relationships using partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM); strategic-pathway ranking using the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS); and an original Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Contribution Index—externally validated by an independent panel of 120 energy experts across 18 Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries. Three findings stand out. Firstly, expert perception and structural evidence diverge: technical barriers receive the highest expert weight (56.2%) yet show the weakest structural effect on adoption (β = −0.230), whereas social barriers, weighted lowest by experts (4.8%), rank second in predictive power (β = −0.310). Secondly, Small-Scale Community Production is the most robust deployment pathway, ranked first under every weighting scenario tested. Thirdly, government policy quality acts as a governance multiplier, raising the sustainability returns of adoption by 20.2%, with benefits concentrated in SDGs 7, 13, 8, and 9. Practically speaking, the framework yields seven strategic goals and a phased 2026–2040 roadmap for fragile developing economies.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrogen7020086first seen 2026-06-30 05:39:28
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