A system dynamics model for the coupled electricity-carbon market and its policy implications
結合電力・炭素市場のシステムダイナミクスモデルとその政策的含意 (AI 翻訳)
Yang Li, Jing Liao, H P Wang
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究では、電力市場と炭素市場を統合したシステムダイナミクスモデル(CEPモデル)を開発。炭素価格を電力配分・投資判断に組み込み、政策調整（炭素割当など）が経済・電力部門運営・炭素価格に与える影響を分析する。実験シミュレーションにより短期的な発電投資行動や需給を再現し、将来の大規模シナリオ適用可能性を示す。
English
This study develops a hybrid Coupled Electricity-enterprise Production-carbon market (CEP) model integrating electricity generation, enterprise production, and carbon market mechanisms. It simulates policy adjustments (e.g., carbon quota allocation) impacts on economic performance, power sector operations, and carbon price dynamics. Experimental simulations convincingly predict short-period generator investment behaviors and power supply-demand. The model is scalable for future provincial-level applications.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
本モデルは中国の電力市場と炭素市場の結合を想定しているが、日本の場合、2026年度からのGX-ETS本格稼働や電力市場改革の文脈で、同様のモデルを応用することで政策の波及効果や地域間格差を分析できる可能性がある。
In the global GX context
This model addresses the global challenge of integrating electricity and carbon markets to achieve net-zero emissions. While developed for the Chinese context, its system dynamics approach is highly transferable to other jurisdictions like the EU or Japan that are advancing market coupling. The model's provincial scalability offers insights for regional policy design and spillover effects.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:This paper provides a novel system dynamics model for coupled electricity-carbon markets, which can be adapted for various regional contexts and extended to include more sectors.
🏛政策担当者:Policymakers can use insights from this model to understand how carbon quota allocation and market coupling affect power sector investment and carbon price stability, aiding in the design of efficient carbon markets.
📄 Abstract（原文）
In response to global climate change, countries and organizations are setting ambitious carbon reduction targets, striving for net-zero emissions. The power sector, as a major source of greenhouse gas emissions, is critical to addressing climate change. A key strategy involves the integration of electricity and carbon markets, which embeds a carbon price into dispatch and investment decisions, aligning short-run operations and long-run capacity planning with emissions goals. This study develops a hybrid Coupled Electricity-enterprise Production-carbon market (CEP) model, which integrates electricity generation, enterprise production, and carbon market mechanisms. The model uses electricity and carbon prices, determined by current-year parameters and historical data, as core variables to simulate the impacts of policy adjustments (e.g., carbon quota allocation) on economic performance, power sector operations, and carbon price dynamics. The model is designed to be scalable, allowing for future application at the provincial level to capture regional heterogeneity and policy spillover effects. The CEP model showed convincing results in predicting short-period generator investment behaviours, power generation demand, and supply through experimental simulations. The CEP model also envisions future research potential in large-scale simulation scenarios.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1049/icp.2026.1733first seen 2026-07-13 06:21:37
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