Carbon lock-in in Algeria’s LNG strategy: Institutional and market constraints in a transitioning energy landscape
アルジェリアのLNG戦略における炭素ロックイン：移行するエネルギー情勢における制度的・市場的制約 (AI 翻訳)
Cephalus Wariri, Sidney Babatunde Allo, Fredrick Ani
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は炭素ロックイン理論をアルジェリアのLNGセクターに適用し、構造的慣性、規制の不透明性、化石燃料輸出への戦略的過度依存を特定。SWOT、ファイブフォース、PESTEL分析を用いて系統的制約と移行機会を診断し、上流多様化、需要合理化、LNG近代化、再生可能エネルギー拡大、水素開発、制度改革の6つの戦略的レバーを提示。政策提言として2019年炭化水素法の執行、インフラ更新、移行機関の権限強化を強調する。
English
This study applies carbon lock-in theory to Algeria's LNG sector, identifying structural inertia, regulatory opacity, and overdependence on fossil fuels. Using SWOT, Porter's Five Forces, and PESTEL analyses, it diagnoses systemic constraints and opportunities, proposing six strategic levers: upstream diversification, demand rationalization, LNG modernization, renewable scale-up, hydrogen development, and institutional reform. Policy recommendations include enforcing the 2019 Hydrocarbons Law, upgrading infrastructure, and empowering transition institutions.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本はLNG輸入依存国であり、アルジェリアの事例は化石燃料依存からの脱却における制度改革の重要性を示唆する。特に長期契約やインフラの固定化が移行を阻む炭素ロックインのメカニズムは、日本のエネルギー政策にも示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
Algeria's struggle between gas-led growth and decarbonization reflects a global tension for fossil-fuel-dependent economies. This paper provides a framework for assessing institutional and technological lock-in, relevant for countries facing similar transition challenges. The strategic levers identified can inform policy design in other emerging economies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Offers a structured application of carbon lock-in theory to a specific national case, useful for comparative energy transition studies.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights policy and institutional reforms needed to avoid lock-in, relevant for gas-exporting countries considering energy transition.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Algeria, Africa’s leading natural gas exporter, faces mounting pressure to reconcile gas-led growth with global decarbonization demands. This study applies carbon lock-in theory, particularly technological/institutional systems lock-in and geopolitical/economic lock-in, to Algeria’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) sector, identifying structural inertia, regulatory opacity, and strategic overdependence on fossil-fuel exports. The analysis framework integrates domestic demand growth, aging infrastructure, and geopolitical positioning, while employing SWOT, Porter’s Five Forces, and PESTEL analyses to diagnose systemic constraints, transition opportunities, and strategic pathways to dismantle Algeria’s carbon lock-in. Trends from 1990 to 2025, with projections to 2030, reveal Algeria’s strengths, resilient upstream basins, expanding LNG capacity, and flexible trading, alongside vulnerabilities such as delayed project execution, subsidized tariffs, and limited diversification. Benchmarking against Egypt, Nigeria, Qatar, Mozambique, and Senegal shows Algeria’s competitiveness hinges on six strategic levers: upstream diversification, demand rationalization, LNG modernization, renewable scale-up, hydrogen development, and institutional reform. Findings indicate that without proactive reservoir management, pricing reform, and governance modernization, Algeria risks a decline in output and regional marginalization. Policy recommendations emphasize enforcing the 2019 Hydrocarbons Law, upgrading infrastructure, and empowering transition institutions, while initiatives such as Solar 1000 and the hydrogen roadmap highlight pathways to diversify energy exports and reduce dependence on gas-to-power. The study concludes that Algeria must integrate its gas strategy with a credible energy transition plan to sustain competitiveness.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2026.109451first seen 2026-07-16 05:01:35
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