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Greening the energy mix: the role of environmental policies in reducing fossil fuel consumption in EU-23 countries

エネルギー構成のグリーン化:EU-23カ国における化石燃料消費削減に対する環境政策の役割 (AI 翻訳)

Nuran Halise BELET, Shehzada Ghulam Abbas, Shehzada Ghulam Abbas, Shahzada Rahim Abbas, Shahzada Rahim Abbas

The Japanese Political Economy📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-06-24#エネルギー転換Origin: EU対象セクター: cross_sector
DOI: 10.1080/2329194x.2026.2688199
原典: https://doi.org/10.1080/2329194x.2026.2688199

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は2005~2022年のEU23カ国パネルデータを用い、再生可能エネルギー、気候適応技術、環境税、FDI、経済成長が化石燃料消費に与える影響を分析。動的パネル推定の結果、再生可能エネルギーは短期的に化石燃料消費を抑制するが、長期では技術の効果が反転する可能性も示唆。政策面では、再生エネ統合強化と環境配慮型投資の必要性を提言。

English

This study examines factors influencing fossil fuel consumption in 23 EU countries from 2005 to 2022, using panel data and dynamic estimators. Results show that renewable energy reduces fossil fuel use, while FDI and GDP growth increase it, confirming the pollution haven effect. Climate adaptation technologies have mixed effects, suggesting the need for integrated policies.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

本論文はEUの実証分析であり、日本が参考にできる点として、再生可能エネルギー導入と税制の組み合わせ効果が示されている。日本のGX政策(特にエネルギー基本計画やグリーン成長戦略)において、海外事例として政策ミックス設計のエビデンスを提供する。

In the global GX context

This paper offers empirical evidence from 23 EU countries on how renewable energy, environmental taxes, and FDI affect fossil fuel consumption, contributing to global debates on decarbonization pathways. For global disclosure frameworks (ISSB, TCFD), it underscores the need to account for policy and technology interactions in transition planning.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides robust panel-data evidence on determinants of fossil fuel consumption, useful for academic modeling of energy transition.

🏢実務担当者:Highlights the role of renewable energy and taxation in reducing fossil fuel dependence, informing corporate sustainability strategy.

🏛政策担当者:Demonstrates the importance of integrating renewable policies with environmental taxes and managing FDI to avoid pollution haven effects.

📄 Abstract(原文)

This study examines the factors that influence fossil fuel consumption in European economies, with a specific emphasis on renewable energy, alternative technologies, foreign investment, and economic growth. The study explores the factors of fossil fuel consumption (FFC) in 23 EU countries over the period 2005–2022, by focusing on the roles of renewable energy output (REO), climate adaptation technologies (CTA), environmental taxation (TET), foreign direct investment (FDI), and economic growth (GDP per capita). We use annual panel data with dynamic panel estimators, such as the autoregressive distributed lag model, system generalized method of moments, and random effects models to incorporate both short-term and long-term dynamics. The Pedroni cointegration test demonstrates a long-run equilibrium relationship. The dynamic ARDL specification’s results show a strong persistence of fossil fuel use, as indicated by a significant lagged dependence of FFC, which underscores the entrenched reliance of European economies on carbon-intensive energy sources. Fossil fuel consumption is found to be significantly reduced by renewable energy output across all models, thereby supporting the substitution hypothesis that the deployment of renewable energy directly reduces reliance on fossil fuels. Foreign direct investment and GDP per capita growth, however, are positively correlated with FFC, in line with environmental Kuznets curve dynamics and the “pollution haven” effect. Climate adaptation technologies exhibit varying effects, decreasing reliance on fossil fuels in the short term but increasing it over the long term, illustrating transitional energy expenses and rebound phenomena. Overall, the results imply that technological innovation and renewable expansion are crucial in driving decarbonization, but structural economic growth and investment patterns still perpetuate dependence on fossil energy. Emphasizing policy implications highlights the necessity for enhanced integration of renewables, adapted energy efficiency measures, and environmentally friendly investment strategies to ensure long-term sustainability goals are met.

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