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Can green hydrogen support fossil fuel workers? Examining workforce transition pathways in oil and gas communities

グリーン水素は化石燃料労働者を支援できるか?石油・ガスコミュニティにおける労働力移行経路の検討 (AI 翻訳)

Jerry Potts, Sergio Castellanos

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)プレプリント2026-05-07#水素Origin: US
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20061855
原典: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20061855

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、テキサス州の電力系統モデルを用いて、グリーン水素と再生可能エネルギーの導入に伴う雇用影響を分析。直接・間接の雇用創出効果を評価し、水素関連雇用が現状の石油・ガス労働者の最大36%を吸収可能と推計。ただし、雇用の地理的ミスマッチが存在し、水素職種は再生可能エネルギーよりも石油・ガスとのスキル親和性が高く、教育要件も低いことから、労働者移行の障壁が低いことが示された。

English

This study models the Texas Interconnection to quantify hydrogen and renewable capacity under various scenarios, assessing workforce impacts via input-output models. Results show hydrogen jobs could support up to 36% of current oil and gas workers, but distributional gaps persist. Hydrogen occupations align better with oil and gas skills than renewables, with lower educational barriers, offering a viable just transition pathway.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本でも水素社会の実現に向けた人材育成が重要視されている。本論文の分析手法と結果は、国内の石油・ガス関連雇用の水素分野への移行策を検討する際の参考になる。特に、スキルマッチングや地域的偏在の評価は、日本の地域雇用政策への示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This paper provides empirical evidence on the workforce implications of hydrogen deployment, a key global just transition concern. It offers a replicable framework for assessing labor transitions in fossil fuel-dependent regions, informing policies for inclusive energy transitions and supporting the development of hydrogen economies worldwide.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:This paper provides a quantitative framework for modeling workforce impacts of hydrogen and renewable energy, including skill alignment and geographic distribution.

🏢実務担当者:Oil and gas companies can use these insights to plan workforce reskilling and diversification into hydrogen operations.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers can apply the findings to design just transition programs, targeted workforce training, and regional development policies for hydrogen hubs.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Decarbonizing our energy sector requires a rapid transition away from fossil fuel infrastructure, likely resulting in significant unemployment in regions relying heavily on the fossil fuel industry. While new renewable energy jobs can provide some support, there are significant gaps in their distribution, skill requirement, and potential wages. Other sectors, such as the hydrogen supply chain, may be able to provide additional support, but their workforce development potential is largely unexplored. In this work, we model the Texas Interconnection to quantity the new hydrogen and renewable energy capacity deployed across the state under a set of different policy and demand scenarios. We then assess the direct and indirect workforce impacts of this new capacity using a set of economic input-output models. The results reveal that jobs associated with hydrogen and related renewable energy generation could support up to 36% of current oil and gas workers in the state. However, distributional gaps persist as new hydrogen occupations are concentrated in regions with relatively low oil and gas employment. Additionally, an analysis of occupational data indicates that the skill and knowledge requirements for hydrogen occupations are better aligned with oil and gas occupations compared to renewable energy occupations. Hydrogen jobs, on average, also have lower educational and training requirements, suggesting that there are fewer barriers for workers transitioning into this sector. These findings provide critical insights into the potential role of emerging hydrogen technologies in facilitating a just energy transition and mitigating the impacts of the transition on oil and gas workers.

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