Assessing the Economic Impact of the IMO Mid-Term Measures on the Korean Economy
IMO中期対策が韓国経済に与える経済的影響の評価 (AI 翻訳)
Han-Seon Park, Young-Gyun Ahn, Min-Kyu Lee
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究はIMOの中期的な海運脱炭素化対策が韓国経済に与えるマクロ経済的影響を定量的に評価する。韓国の貿易の99%以上を海運が担うため、規制による物流コスト上昇が輸出産業全体に波及する。既存研究は規制解釈に留まり、産業連関効果を定量分析したものは少ない。本分析は政策立案のためのエビデンスを提供する。
English
This study quantitatively evaluates the macroeconomic impact of IMO's mid-term maritime decarbonization measures on the Korean economy. Since over 99% of Korea's trade depends on maritime transport, regulatory cost increases ripple across export industries. Unlike prior studies focused on regulatory interpretation, this work provides economy-wide empirical evidence for policy-making.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本も海運大国であり、IMO規制は日本貿易にも直結する。韓国事例の定量分析は、日本が同様の影響評価を行う際のベンチマークとなる。
In the global GX context
The IMO's mid-term measures are globally significant. This Korean case study offers a template for other trade-dependent economies to assess the macroeconomic spillovers of maritime carbon pricing.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:An empirical framework for estimating cross-industry effects of maritime decarbonization regulation.
🏢実務担当者:Shipping companies and trade-dependent industries can use the cost-impact estimates to prepare for regulatory changes.
🏛政策担当者:Quantitative evidence supports designing mitigation policies and transition finance mechanisms for affected sectors.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The International Maritime Organization (IMO) established an initial strategy for maritime decarbonization and later specified its long-term target of achieving net-zero strategy by 2050. The institutional framework for mid-term measures was introduced by IMO, and mid-term measures were originally scheduled to be adopted at the end of 2025, but will be re-discussed in 2026 due to opposition from some current member states; South Korea relies on maritime transport for over 99% of its total import/export volume, meaning that the national shipping sector constitutes a core infrastructure supporting trade-driven economic activity. However, mid-term measures are expected to increase logistics costs and weaken route competitiveness and contract markets, affecting individual shipping companies and the entire export–import industrial base. However, quantitative analyses of the cross-industry ripple effects remain limited. Existing studies assess regulatory burdens on shipping but rarely estimate economy-wide spillovers or provide empirical guidance for policy strategies. Therefore, research is needed to move beyond regulatory interpretation, assess domestic response capabilities, and quantitatively analyze the macroeconomic impacts of mid-term measures to support sound policy decision-making. This study aims to quantitatively evaluate the nationwide economic impact of the IMO mid-term measures and propose strategic policy solutions for effective domestic responses.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.3390/su18094489first seen 2026-06-29 06:19:32
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