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Integrated Nuclear–Renewable Hybrid Energy Systems for Energy Security and Long-Term Decarbonization: A Sustainable Energy Approach for Sumba Island

エネルギー安全保障と長期脱炭素化のための統合型原子力・再生可能エネルギーハイブリッドシステム:スンバ島の持続可能なエネルギーアプローチ (AI 翻訳)

Chico Hermanu Brillianto Apribowo, Rizki Firmansyah Setya Budi, Ahmad Adhiim Muthahhari

プレプリント2026-08-05#エネルギー転換経営インパクト: コスト削減対象セクター: power
DOI: 10.22541/authorea.15007070/v1
原典: https://doi.org/10.22541/authorea.15007070/v1

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、インドネシアのスンバ島を対象に、浮体式小型モジュール炉(SMR)と再生可能エネルギーを統合したハイブリッドシステムの長期実現可能性を評価する。2060年までの計画期間で、再生可能エネルギー・化石燃料移行シナリオと原子力・再生可能ハイブリッドシナリオを比較し、後者は再生可能エネルギー比率をほぼ100%に高め、化石燃料発電を約87.9%削減し、電力コストを21.9から16.3セント/kWhに低減することを示した。

English

This study evaluates the long-term feasibility of integrating floating small modular reactors (SMRs) with renewables for isolated islands, using Sumba Island, Indonesia, as a case. Comparing a renewable-fossil transition scenario with a nuclear-renewable hybrid scenario to 2060, the hybrid pathway raises renewable share to near 100%, cuts fossil generation by ~87.9%, and lowers electricity cost from 21.9 to 16.3 US cents/kWh, offering a reliable and competitive decarbonization route.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本の離島や電力系統の安定性課題に示唆を与える。SMR技術の導入可能性や再生可能エネルギー統合の評価手法は、日本のエネルギー政策や地域脱炭素化に参考となる。

In the global GX context

Contributes to global discourse on SMR integration and island decarbonization, relevant for energy transition planning in remote and isolated grids, aligning with net-zero targets and sustainable energy goals.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a modeling framework for integrating SMRs with renewables in isolated grids, useful for energy system analysis.

🏢実務担当者:Offers insights for energy planners and utilities on cost-effective decarbonization pathways for island systems.

🏛政策担当者:Informs policy on SMR deployment and renewable integration for energy security and climate goals.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Remote and isolated island power systems face persistent barriers to deep decarbonization due to heavy fossil-fuel dependency, renewable energy intermittency, and limited operational flexibility. This study develops an integrated system modelling and assessment framework to evaluate the long-term feasibility of nuclear–renewable hybrid energy systems for isolated islands, using Sumba Island, Indonesia, as a representative case study. Two development pathways are comparatively assessed over a planning horizon extending to 2060: a Renewable–Fossil Transition Scenario based on solar photovoltaic (PV), battery energy storage systems (BESS), and gas-engine generation, and a Nuclear–Renewable Hybrid Scenario integrating floating small modular reactor (SMR) technology alongside renewable energy and storage. The framework couples hourly operational dispatch, generation expansion planning, techno-economic analysis, reserve margin evaluation, and sustainability assessment. The renewable-transition pathway remains structurally dependent on gas-engine generation, with the renewable share declining to 15.61% by 2060. Integrating floating SMR technology from around 2043 raises the renewable share close to 100% in several years, reduces fossil-based generation by approximately 87.9%, and lowers long-term electricity cost from 21.9 to 16.3 US cents/kWh. The findings indicate that combining floating SMRs with renewable energy and storage offers a reliable, competitive, and sustainable decarbonization pathway for isolated island systems.

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