Carbon tax, not subsidies: three decades of danish economic council advice against green industrial policy
補助金ではなく炭素税：デンマーク経済諮問委員会の30年にわたるグリーン産業政策反対の勧告 (AI 翻訳)
Troels Krarup, Peter Karnøe
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、デンマーク経済諮問委員会（DEC）が30年にわたり、風力発電などのグリーンエネルギー支援に反対し、一律かつ普遍的な炭素税を唯一の政策手段として推奨してきたことを明らかにした。分析の結果、この政策助言は理論に過度に依存し、イノベーションや政治・市場の不確実性を軽視していることが示された。気候変動政策の助言には、最適化の視点だけでなく政治戦略の考慮が必要と提言する。
English
This paper analyzes the Danish Economic Councils' (DEC) consistent opposition to green energy subsidies over three decades, advocating instead for a uniform carbon tax as the sole policy instrument. The advice is found to be heavily theory-driven, neglecting uncertain, dynamic, and strategic aspects of innovation, politics, and markets. The authors suggest climate policy advice should incorporate political strategy alongside optimization.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本では、炭素税導入論議が進む一方で、補助金によるグリーン成長戦略（GX推進法）も並行している。本論文は、デンマークの事例から、純粋な炭素税偏重の政策助言が技術革新や政治的文脈を軽視するリスクを示しており、日本の政策設計に示唆を与える。SSBJや有報でのカーボンプライシング開示が進む中、政策の最適設計を考える上で参考になる。
In the global GX context
This paper offers a critical perspective on the global debate between carbon taxes and green subsidies. While carbon pricing is central to TCFD/ISSB disclosure frameworks, the Danish case warns against relying solely on a uniform carbon tax, highlighting the need for complementary industrial policies. It provides evidence for policymakers designing transition strategies under the Paris Agreement.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a longitudinal case study of how economic advisory institutions shape climate policy, useful for understanding policy inertia and the politics of instrument choice.
🏢実務担当者:Offers arguments for corporate sustainability teams engaging in policy advocacy, showing the limitations of a single-instrument approach.
🏛政策担当者:Warns against over-reliance on carbon tax as a silver bullet, emphasizing the need for strategic industrial policy alongside pricing mechanisms.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Abstract Economic expertise influences climate policy through various institutional channels, including academic research, think tanks, government offices, and councils. National economic councils are particularly relevant because close to political realities and accepting politically defined climate and environmental goals. Based on a systematic analysis of their publications, we find that the Danish Economic Councils (DEC) have consistently opposed all forms of support for green energy (wind power) in favor of a single and allegedly market-efficient policy instrument—a uniform and universal carbon tax. This constant policy advice spans three decades of changing technological, institutional, political, and economic context. Our analysis reveals the policy advice to be heavily theory-driven and negligent of uncertain, dynamic, and strategic aspects of innovation, politics, and markets. We suggest that policy advise on climate and environmental transition should contrast the idea of optimization with a perspective on political strategy.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- crossref https://doi.org/10.1093/ser/mwag028first seen 2026-06-16 05:39:19
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